417 research outputs found

    Estimation of mean and extreme waves in the East China Seas

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    Abstract not availableJiangxia Li, Yongping Chen, Shunqi Pan, Yi Pan, Jiayu Fang, Derrick M.A. Sow

    Three-dimensional flow structure of a non-buoyant jet in a wave-current coexisting environment

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    Abstract not availableZhenshan Xu, Yongping Chen, Jianfeng Tao, Yi Pan, Derrick M.A.Sowa, Chi-wai L

    Investigating future precipitation changes over China through a high-resolution regional climate model ensemble

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    Due to climate change, rising temperature around the world will have a great potential to influence the global hydrologic cycle, thus leading to substantial changes in the spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation. In this study, the effects of global warming on the regional hydrologic cycle, particularly on the spatiotemporal patterns of precipitation, over China are investigated through a high-resolution regional climate ensemble. In detail, the PRECIS regional climate modeling system is employed to simulate the regional climate over China from 1950 to 2099 with a fine resolution of 25 km, driven by the boundary conditions from a four-member HadCM3-based perturbed-physics ensemble (i.e., HadCM3Q0, Q1, Q7, and Q13) and the ECHAM5 model. Historical simulations of the PRECIS ensemble are first compared to the observations to validate its performance in capturing both the spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation. The comparisons show that the PRECIS ensemble is likely to overestimate precipitation in the south and exhibits slight dry biases in the northwest and southeast coasts of China. The projections from the PRECIS ensemble for future periods (i.e., 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s) are then analyzed to help understand how the regional characteristics of precipitation will be affected in the context of global warming. It is shown that the annual mean precipitation over China is likely to increase throughout the 21st century (i.e., by 0.078 mm/d in 2020s, 0.218 mm/d in 2050s, and 0.360 mm/d in 2080s). This may suggest that the rising temperature due to climate change will intensify the regional hydrologic cycles in China. However, apparent spatial and temporal variations are also reported in the projected precipitations from the PRECIS ensemble. For example, bigger changes in precipitation are usually observed in summer; projected precipitation changes in the southeast are apparently higher than other regions. In addition, the results show that the fluctuation range of the ensemble simulations will increase with time periods from 2020s to 2080s, indicating that the longer the projecting periods, the more uncertain the projections will be

    A new adaptive interpolation algorithm for 3D ultrasound imaging with speckle reduction and edge preservation

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    Author name used in this publication: Qinghua HuangAuthor name used in this publication: Yongping ZhengAuthor name used in this publication: Minhua Lu2008-2009 > Academic research: refereed > Publication in refereed journalAccepted ManuscriptPublishedGreen (AAM

    A mixed-level factorial inference approach for ensemble long-term hydrological projections over the Jing River Basin

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    Long-term hydrological projections can vary substantially depending on the combination of meteorological forcing dataset, hydrologic model (HM), emissions scenario, and natural climate variability. Identifying dominant sources of model spread in an ensemble of hydrologic projections is critically important for developing reliable hydrological projections in support of flooding risk assessment and water resources management; however, it is not well understood due to the multifactor and multiscale complexities involved in the long-term hydrological projections. Therefore, a stepwise clustered Bayesian (SCB) ensemble method will be first developed to improve the performance of long-term hydrological projections. Meanwhile, a mixed-level factorial inference (MLFI) approach is employed to estimate multiple uncertainties in hydrological projections over the Jing River basin (JRB). MLFI is able to reveal the main and interactive effects of the anthropogenic emission and model choices on the SCB ensemble projections. The results suggest that the daily maximum temperature under RCP8.5 in the 2050s and 2080s is expected to respectively increase by 3.2° and 5.2°C, which are much higher than the increases under RCP4.5. The maximum increase of the RegCM driven by CanESM2 (CARM)-projected changes in streamflow for the 2050s and 2080s under RCP4.5 is 0.30 and 0.59 × 103 m s−3 in November, respectively. In addition, in a multimodel GCM–RCM–HM ensemble, hydroclimate is found to be most sensitive to the choice of GCM. Moreover, it is revealed that the percentage of contribution of anthropogenic emissions to the changes in monthly precipitation is relatively smaller, but it makes a more significant contribution to the total variance of changes in potential evapotranspiration and streamflow

    Projected changes in wind speed and its energy potential in China using a high‐resolution regional climate model

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    Following its commitment to Paris Agreement in 2015, China has started to explore potential renewable energy solutions with low carbon emissions to mitigate global warming. Though wind energy is one of the most cost‐effective solutions and has been favored for climate policy development around the world, its high sensitivity to climate change raises some critical issues for the long‐term effectiveness in providing sustainable energy supply. Particularly, how wind speed and its energy potential in China will change in the context of global warming is still not well understood. In this paper, we simulate the near‐surface wind speed over China using the PRECIS regional climate modeling system under different RCP emission scenarios for assessing the possible changes in wind speed and wind energy availability over China throughout the 21st century. Overall, the PRECIS model can reasonably reproduce the mesoscale climatological near‐surface wind speed and directions as documented in reanalysis data across most regions of China, while some local discrepancies are reported in the southwestern regions. In the future, the annual mean wind speed would be decreasing in most regions of China, except for a slightly increase in the southeast. The expected changes in wind speed are characterized with different amplitudes and rates under different RCP emission scenarios. The changes in the spatial distribution of wind speed seem to be sensitive for RCP climate emission scenarios, especially in the late 21st century. The spatiotemporal changes in wind energy potential exhibit a similar behavior to those in near‐surface wind speed, but the magnitudes of these changes are larger. In general, the wind power density is expected to increase by over 5% in winter in the major wind fields in China (ie, Northwest, Northcentral and Northeast), while significant decreases (by about 6% on average) are projected for other seasons (ie, spring, summer and autumn). By contrast, the wind energy potential in the northeast would increase over most months in the year, especially in winter and summer. The results of this research are of great importance for understanding where and to what extent the wind energy can be utilized to contribute renewable energy system development in China in support of its long‐term climate change mitigation commitment
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