97,675 research outputs found

    Bayesian mixture models: A blood-free dissection of a sheep

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    The use of computed tomography (CT) scanning to measure attributes of tissue composition in animal experiments has grown steadily since the early 1990s. This technology is used on a range of experiments, such as nutrition trials for live animals, as well as on carcases after slaughter. A CT scan returns measurements averaged over a pixel area that represent the denseness of the tissue. This tissue denseness is related to tissue type, with fat being generally less dense then muscle and bone being the most dense tissue we study. However, tissue denseness is not well separated, leading to a large overlap on the boundaries between types. Normal mixture models have proved to be an efficient analytical technique for estimating the proportion of tissue types in individual CT scans, with MCMC output providing measures of variability that are unavailable in the standard cut-point modelling approach. These models are then used in conjunction with integration techniques to estimate the tissue volumes within a carcase. In this paper we initially model individual scan data using a hierarchical mixture model, where skewed tissue densities are represented by the addition of two or more components.The mixture model is then extended to account for some of the spatial information using a Markov random field represented by a Potts model in terms of the allocation vector. A scheme for choosing starting values for component parameters is presented. The paper concludes with the use of the Cavalieri approach to combine individual scan estimates in order to estimate the carcase volume.No Full Tex

    Kurtosis modelling by means of the J-transformation

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    The H-family of distributions or H-distributions, introduced by Tukey (1960, 1977), are generated by a single transformation of the standard normal distribution and allow for leptokurtosis represented by the parameter h. Alternatively, Haynes, MacGillivray and Mengersen (1997) generated leptokurtic distributions by applying the K-transformation to the normal distribution. In this study we propose a third transformation - the so-called J-transformation - and derive some properties of this transformation. Moreover, so-called elongation generating functions (EGF’s) are introduced. By means of EGF's we are able to visualize the strength of tail elongation and to construct new transformations. Finally, we compare the three transformations towards their goodness-of-fit in the context of financial return data. --kurtosis,variable transformation,normal transformation,tail elongation.

    Estimating detection rates and probabilities

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    Quantitative Approaches Frith Jarrad, Samantha Low-Choy, Kerrie Mengersen ... CAB International 2015. Biosecurity Surveillance: Quantitative Approaches (eds 1 Introduction to Biosecurity Surveillance: Quantitative Approaches

    Joshua Davis: Author of Spare Parts

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    Citation: K-State First (2016). Joshua Davis: Author of Spare Parts [Flier]. Manhattan, Kansas: K-State First.Flyer advertising Joshua Davis's author talk at Kansas State University

    Using Bayesian networks to model surveillance in complex plant and animal health systems

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    In this chapter we consider biosecurity surveillance as part of a complex system comprising many different biological, environmental and human factors and their interactions. Modelling and analysis of surveillance strategies should take into account these complexities, and also facilitate the use and integration of the many types of different information that can provide insight into the system as a whole. After a brief discussion of a range of options, we focus on Bayesian networks for representing such complex systems. We summarize the features of Bayesian networks and describe these in the context of surveillance

    Steven Johnson Author Talk Poster

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    K-State Book NetworkA poster advertising an author talk by Steven Johnson at Kansas State University on September 3, 2014. Steven Johnson's book "The Ghost Map" was the 2014-2015 common book

    Unerwünschte Nachbarn. ‚Zigeuner‘ und die Angst vor den Völkern Osteuropas

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    Bogdal K-M. Unerwünschte Nachbarn. ‚Zigeuner‘ und die Angst vor den Völkern Osteuropas. In: von Mengersen O, ed. Sinti und Roma. Eine deutsche Minderheit zwischen Diskriminierung und Emanzipation. Bonn/München; 2015: 87-98

    Issues in Designing Hybrid Algorithms

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    https://catalogue.library.auckland.ac.nz/permalink/f/1ilac6l/uoa_alma5122877148000209

    The role of intrinsic dimension in high-resolution player tracking data - Insights in basketball

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    Following the introduction of high-resolution player tracking technology, a new range of statistical analysis has emerged in sports, specifically in basketball. However, such high dimensional data are often challenging for statistical inference and decision making. In this article, we employ a state-of-theart Bayesian mixture model that allows the estimation of heterogeneous s (ID) within a dataset, and we propose some theoretical enhancements. Informally, the ID can be seen as an indicator of complexity and dependence of the data at hand, and it is usually assumed unique. Our method provides the capacity to reveal valuable insights about the hidden dynamics of sports interactions in space and time, which helps to translate complex patterns into more coherent statistics. The application of this technique is illustrated using NBA basketball players’ tracking data, allowing effective classification and clustering. In movement data, the analysis identified key stages of offensive actions such as creating space for passing, preparation/shooting, and following through, which are relevant for invasion sports. We found that the ID value spikes, reaching a peak between 4 and 8 seconds, in the offensive part of the court, after which it declines. In shot charts, we obtained groups of shots that produce substantially higher and lower successes. Overall, game-winners tend to have a larger intrinsic dimension, indicative of greater unpredictability and unique shot placements. Similarly, we found higher ID values in plays when the score margin is smaller rather than larger. The exploitation of these results can bring clear strategic advantages in sports games

    THE ROLE OF INTRINSIC DIMENSION IN HIGH-RESOLUTION PLAYER TRACKING DATA—INSIGHTS IN BASKETBALL

    No full text
    Following the introduction of high-resolution player tracking technology, a new range of statistical analysis has emerged in sports, specifically in basketball. However, such high-dimensional data are often challenging for statistical inference and decision making. In this article we employ a state-of-the-art Bayesian mixture model that allows the estimation of heterogeneous intrinsic dimension (ID) within a dataset, and we propose some theoretical enhancements. Informally, the ID can be seen as an indicator of complexity and dependence of the data at hand, and it is usually assumed unique. Our method provides the capacity to reveal valuable insights about the hidden dynamics of sports interactions in space and time which helps to translate complex patterns into more coherent statistics. The application of this technique is illustrated using NBA basketball players’ tracking data, allowing effective classification and clustering. In movement data the analysis identified key stages of offensive actions, such as creating space for passing, preparation/shooting, and following through which are relevant for invasion sports. We found that the ID value spikes, reaching a peak between four and eight seconds in the offensive part of the court, after which it declines. In shot charts we obtained groups of shots that produce substantially higher and lower successes. Overall, game-winners tend to have a larger intrinsic dimension, indicative of greater unpredictability and unique shot placements. Similarly, we found higher ID values in plays when the score margin is smaller rather than larger. The exploitation of these results can bring clear strategic advantages in sports games
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