165 research outputs found

    The Demographic Transition and Long-Run Development

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    This chapter gives an overview of the role of the demographic transition and the non-linear dynamics in fertility and mortality associated with this transition, for long-run development. The Chapter discusses the implications for the transition from stagnation to sustained economic growth, to channels linking health improvements to long-term development, and insights for the secular stagnation debate. The chapter finally provides a brief overview of the chapters contained in this volume

    Replication Data for: "Epidemic Shocks and Civil Violence: Evidence from Malaria Outbreaks in Africa"

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    Cervellati, Matteo, Esposito, Elena, and Sunde, Uwe, (2022) “Epidemic Shocks and Civil Violence: Evidence from Malaria Outbreaks in Africa.” Review of Economics and Statistics 104:4, 780–796

    Alimentare la presenza. L'Archivio Kazuo Ohno in Italia

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    Il saggio si concentra sulle attività e sul significato dell'Archivio Kazuo Ohno, che dal 2002 ha sede in Italia, presso l'Alma Mater Studiorum-Università di Bologna. Nato sicuramente per un “desiderio di memoria” (Jacques Derrida), ma pure per un “dovere di memoria” (Jacques Lassalle), si propone come un archivio vivente, attivo nell'alimentare la presenza di uno dei padri della danza butō, Kazuo Ohno, attraverso la conservazione di tracce documentali, la loro fruizione e la loro rivivificazione

    Il candore del corpo

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    Testo di presentazione per il programma di sala dello spettacolo Le vergini, di Matteo Levaggi, rappresentato al Teatro Municipale di Piacenza il 22 aprile 2012

    "Thou shalt not covet ...": Prohibitions, temptation and moral values

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    This paper proposes a theory of the relationship between prohibitions and temptation. In presence of self-control problems, moral values may increase individual material welfare (and utility) by serving as a self-commitment device. The model investigates the relationship between morality and temptation, the individual gains from morality, the interaction between external sanctions and moral self-punishment and the spread and strength of individually optimal moral values. The empirical analysis, based on survey data for a large set of countries, documents a hump-shaped pattern of morality in social class, which supports the theoretical predictions of the model

    Democratizing for peace? The effect of democratization on civil conflicts

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    This paper provides an empirical investigation of the effect of democratization on the risk of civil conflicts. Results for the countries democratizing during the Third Wave suggest that democratization has a negative overall effect on conflicts. Democratization does not affect conflicts for territories, but significantly reduces internal civil conflict over the control of the government. The effect sets in after democratization and appears to be persistent. The democratization scenario in terms of violence during the transition has an effect on subsequent conflict for government. Countries with a violent transition to democracy experience shorter spells of peace than countries with a peaceful transition to democracy. Similar findings emerge for the occurrence of coups

    The Economic and Demographic Transition, Mortality, and Comparative Development

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    This paper develops a quantifiable unified growth theory to investigate cross-country comparative development. The calibrated model can replicate the historical development dynamics in forerunner countries like Sweden and the patterns in cross-country panel data. The findings suggest a crucial role of the timing of the onset of the economic and demographic transition for explaining differences in development. Country-specific differences in extrinsic mortality are a candidate explanation for differences in the timing of the take-off across countries and the resulting worldwide comparative development patterns, including the bimodal distribution of the endogenous variables across countries

    The effect of life expectancy on education and population dynamics

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    The demographic transition represents a critical turning point for population dynamics and economic development. As a consequence, the effects of life expectancy on education and population dynamics are expected to change across different stages of demographic development. This paper tests this hypothesis empirically by exploiting exogenous within-country reductions in mortality as a result of the epidemiological transition after 1940 that have been applied in recent studies on the causal effects of life expectancy for income growth. The results document a pronounced heterogeneity, and relevant non-linearities, of the effects of life expectancy on schooling and population dynamics at different stages of the demographic transition

    Civil conflict, democratization, and growth: Violent democratization as critical juncture

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    In this paper, we provide an empirical investigation of the interaction between violent conflicts, democratization, and growth in the “third wave” of democratization. The effect of democratization is weakened when taking into account the incidence of civil conflict. The results show that the growth effect of democratization is heterogeneous and depends on the democratization scenario. Peaceful transitions to democracy have a significant positive effect on growth that is even larger than reported previously in the literature, whereas violent transitions have no, or even negative, growth effects

    Life expectancy, schooling, and lifetime labor supply: Theory and evidence revisited

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    This paper presents a theoretical and empirical analysis of the role of life expectancy for optimal schooling and lifetime labor supply. The results of a simple prototype Ben-Porath model with age-specific survival rates show that an increase in lifetime labor supply is not a necessary, nor a sufficient, condition for greater life expectancy to increase optimal schooling. The observed increase in survival rates during working ages that follows from the rectangularization of the survival function is crucial for schooling and labor supply. The empirical results suggest that the relative benefits of schooling have been increasing across cohorts of US men born 1840-1930. A simple quantitative analysis shows that a realistic shift in the survival function can lead to an increase in schooling and a reduction in lifetime labor hours
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