956 research outputs found
Simple Short-Term Probabilistic Drought Prediction Using Mediterranean Teleconnection Information
Timely forecasts of the onset or possible evolution of droughts is an important contribution to mitigate their manifold negative effects; therefore, in this paper, we propose a mathematically-simple drought forecasting framework gaining Mediterranean Sea temperature information (SST-M) to predict droughts. Agro-metrological drought index addressing seasonality and autocorrelation (AMDI-SA) was used in a Markov model in Urmia lake basin, North West of Iran. Markov chain is adopted to model drought for joint occurrence of different classes of drought severity and sea surface temperature of Mediterranean Sea, which is called 2D Markov chain model. The proposed model, which benefits suitability of Markov chain models for modeling droughts, showed improvement results in prediction scores relative to classic Markov chain model not including SST-M information, additionally
Effects of intragastric vs. intraduodenal administration of the bitter compound, quinine, on the glycaemic response to, and slowing of gastric emptying of, a mixed-nutrient drink, in healthy men
Poster presentation 102Braden Rose, Peyman Rezaie, Vida Bitarafan, Penelope Fitzgerald, Michael Horowitz, Christine Feinle-Bisse
Sequential joint inversion of gravity and magnetic data via the cross-gradient constraint
Different geophysical methods use different model parameterizations and inversion algorithms. Thus, combining these different inversion systems and yet adding the nonlinear cross-gradient constraint in a joint inversion framework might be a big challenge, for instance, as explained further by Moorkamp et al. in 2011, there is a complex interaction between the data misfit terms, regularization and cross-gradient terms and an imperfect fit to the data is expected. In this paper, we use a sequential algorithm for a two-dimensional joint inversion of gravity and magnetic data, which tries to avoid these issues by decoupling the gravity inversion, the magnetic inversion and the cross-gradient minimization processes. The efficiency of the algorithm and developed code is demonstrated by the joint inversion of noisy synthetic data. The results show a significant improvement in the respective models obtained by introducing the cross-gradient joint inversion over the models obtained by separate inversions for synthetic data and then for field data targeting potash ore source in the AjiChai salt deposit in north-western Iran. In this application case, the lower density of salt minerals such as potash, compared to its surrounding sedimentary sequences, motivates a gravity study. Furthermore, the relative lower susceptibility of these salt minerals, alongside their diamagnetic effect, makes them a suitable target for magnetic surveys. Separate gravity and magnetic studies had been performed over the deposit; however, a constitutive relationship between density and magnetization within the area of interest supporting a joint inversion had not been established. In this paper, we apply the sequential cross-gradient approach to perform the first full joint inversion for the AjiChai salt deposit. The magnetic inversion here is performed to recover the magnetization amplitudes rather than the magnetization vector. In fact, we assume there is no remanent magnetization and, therefore, that the magnetization vector is constant and parallel to the geomagnetic field direction. The constructed density and magnetization models are of high concordance with available geological information and previous studies including drilling results. In addition, unlike previous separate inversion models, the models are structurally and geometrically similar
The impact of ZnO nanotube on the performance of hybrid inorganic/organic light-emitting diode as a single-mode ring-core UV waveguide
After a systematic survey in hybrid inorganic/organic light-emitting heterostructure devices based on ZnO in the last decay, in this novel work, the impact of the single-mode ring-core waveguide based on ZnO nanotube (NT)/MEH-PPV for ultraviolet organic light-emitting diode (UV-OLED) application has been carefully scrutinized for the first time. The proposed structure has been fabricated, simulated and compared with conventional ZnO nanorod (NR)/MEH-PPV structure. To synthesize ZnO NTs, the as-grown chemical bath deposited ZnO NRs have been etched in KCL solution in various molar (M) concentration, etching time and etching temperature. The optimized etching condition is obtained in 1 M concentration of KCL solution, 4 h etching time and 90 °C temperature. The structural properties (such as strain, stress and texture coefficient), electrical properties (such as band gap energy) and optical properties (such as Urbach energy, absorbance and photoluminescence spectra) of ZnO NTs have been investigated, systematically. In continue, hybrid UV-OLEDs have been fabricated based on ZnO NRs and ZnO NTs. According to the results, ZnO NT-based OLED depicts superior electrical and optical results including lower turn-on voltage (11.2 V < 15 V) and higher UV peak in electroluminescence spectra with respect to ZnO NR-based device. To acquire more enlightenment about UV emission mechanism, the proposed devices have been simulated through Silvaco TCAD and Lumerical FDTD software. The results from simulations illustrate great agreement with experimental results. Higher radiative recombination rate, higher Purcell factor and single-mode waveguiding effect of ring-core ZnO NT lead to major superiority of the ZnO NT-based UV-OLED fabricated and simulated in this work
Composite agrometeorological drought index accounting for seasonality and autocorrelation
Drought indices are statistical tools used for monitoring the departure from normal conditions of water availability. Recently, the multivariate nature of droughts was addressed through composite indices capable of including different factors contributing to the occurrence of a drought. However, some issues (like the autocorrelation or the proper definition of the multivariate index) are still open and need to be addressed to make these indices applicable in current practice. Here, a composite agrometeorological drought index (AMDI-SA) has been introduced, accounting for meteorological and agricultural droughts, considering specifically seasonality and autocorrelation. The AMDI-SA combines, through the copula concept and the Kendall function, two drought indices [namely multivariate standardized precipitation index (MSPI) and the multivariate standardized soil moisture index (MSSI)] in a statistically consistent (normal distributed) drought indicator. Nonparametric distributions have been used for the variables of interest and the calculation of MSPI and MSSI, whereas parametric and nonparametric (empirical) copulas are used to build the AMDI-SA. A prewhitening procedure has been applied to the MSPI and MSSI to remove the autocorrelation. An application to the Urmia lake basin in Iran has been presented, drought indices compared, and their spatial variability investigated. Results showed that MSPI and MSSI are able to justify 72 and 89% of the variability throughout the year. The AMDI-SA reflects the combined effect of soil moisture and precipitation, and has a behavior in between whitened MSPI and MSSI. In addition, having nomemory and being a composite index, the AMDI-SAis able to clearly detect the temporal variability of recorded droughts to a greater extent than the MSPI and MSSI
Figure 2 in Species assemblage and distribution of turtle barnacles (Cirripedia: Coronuloidea) on foraging green sea turtles (Chelonia mydas) in the Persian Gulf
Figure 2. Distribution of Chelonibia testudinaria and Platylepas hexastylos on the carapace (a) and plastron (b) of foraging green sea turtles (Chelonia mydas) in southern Qeshm Island (eastern Persian Gulf). letters on the scutes of the top-left picture show: c) central scutes; l) lateral scutes; n) nuchal scute; s) supracaudal scutes; m) marginal scutes (all unmarked scutes between nuchal and supracaudals are marginal scutes). Letters on the scutes of the below-right picture show: i) intergular scute; g) gular scute; h) humeral scute; p) pectoral scute; ab) abdominal scute; f) femoral scute; a) anal scute; in) inframarginal scutes.Published as part of Habibi Motlagh, Saeedeh, Nasrolahi, Ali & Rezaie-Atagholipour, Mohsen, 2021, Species assemblage and distribution of turtle barnacles (Cirripedia: Coronuloidea) on foraging green sea turtles (Chelonia mydas) in the Persian Gulf, pp. 2113-2123 in Journal of Natural History 54 (33-34) on page 2117, DOI: 10.1080/00222933.2020.1837276, http://zenodo.org/record/502905
Application of the group method of data handling (GMDH) approach for landslide susceptibility zonation using readily available spatial covariates
Landslide susceptibility (LS) mapping is an essential tool for landslide risk assessment. This study aimed to provide a new approach with better performance for landslide mapping and adopting readily available variables. In addition, it investigates the capability of a state-of-the-art model developed using the group method of data handling (GMDH) to spatially model LS. Furthermore, hybridized models of GMDH were developed using different metaheuristic algorithms. The study area was the Bonghwa region of South Korea, for which an accurate landslide inventory dataset is available. We considered a total of 13 spatial covariates (altitude, slope, aspect, topographic wetness index, valley depth, plan curvature, profile curvature, distance from fault, distance from river, distance from road, land use, density of forest, and lithology were chosen as independent variables). Two benchmark models—random forest and boosted regression trees—were used to compare their results with the standalone GMDH and hybridized models. We compared model accuracy using the two most robust evaluation metrics, root mean square error (RMSE) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The validation results showed that hybridized models outperformed the standalone GMDH model. Moreover, the hybridized GMDH-PSO (AUC = 0.83, RMSE = 0.108), GMDH-IWO (AUC = 0.81, RMSE = 0.111), GMDH-BBO (AUC = 0.8; RMSE = 0.12), and GMDH-ICA (AUC = 0.8; RMSE = 0.117) had a better predictive performance than both RF and BRT. Therefore, the proposed approach could successfully produce landslide susceptibility maps using relatively few readily available variables and can be repeated in data-scarce regions
Multi-walled carbon nanotube dispersion methodologies in alkaline media and their influence on mechanical reinforcement of alkali-activated nanocomposites
The focus of present research is the establishment of a practical procedure for effective incorporation of multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWCNTs) into alkali-activated materials (AAMs) with the aim of mechanical reinforcement. Investigated composite in this work was an alkali-activated matrix composed of fly ash (FA) and ground-granulated blast furnace-slag (GGBS) as solid aluminium-calcium-silicate precursors along with highly concentrated sodium silicate (Na2SiO3) and sodium hydroxide (NaOH) as liquid alkaline activators. Na2SiO3, NaOH, and a combination of them were used for dispersion of MWCNTs. An anionic surfactant, naphthalene sulfonate (NS), and ultrasonication were applied to assist in the preparation of nanofluids. Optical microscopy, integral light transmission (ILT), and Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) were performed to assess the colloidal behaviour of MWCNTs in the nanofluids. The possible dispersion mechanisms were furthermore hypothesised for each alkaline medium. Based on the outcomes, MWCNTs had the best dispersion performance in the Na2SiO3 based nanofluids. The relevant nanocomposites accordingly, in comparison to the other preparation methodologies in this research, indicated the highest improvements in flexural (65%) and compressive (30%) strengths as a consequence of 0.050 wt% MWCNT incorporation. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and mercury intrusion porosimetry (MIP) further clarified the reinforcement functionality and microstructure refinement of the MWCNTs dispersed in the Na2SiO3 based nanofluids. Altogether, this paper represents a broad insight concerning a better understanding of MWCNTs’ interactions in alkaline activators, i.e. dispersion media, and AAMs, i.e. host matrices, to obtain the highest possible mechanical and microstructural performance of reinforced nanocomposites
Enhancing mechanical properties and biological performances of injectable bioactive glass by gelatin and chitosan for bone small defect repair
Bioactive glass (BG) represents a promising biomaterial for bone healing; here injectable BG pastes biological properties were improved by the addition of gelatin or chitosan, as well as mechanical resistance was enhanced by adding 10 or 20 wt% 3-Glycidyloxypropyl trimethoxysilane (GPTMS) cross-linker. Composite pastes exhibited bioactivity as apatite formation was observed by Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM) and X-Ray Diffraction (XRD) after 14 days immersion in simulated body fluid (SBF); moreover, polymers did not enhance degradability as weight loss was >10% after 30 days in physiological conditions. BG-gelatin-20 wt% GPTMS composites demonstrated the highest compressive strength (4.8 ± 0.5 MPa) in comparison with the bulk control paste made of 100% BG in water (1.9 ± 0.1 MPa). Cytocompatibility was demonstrated towards human mesenchymal stem cells (hMSC), osteoblasts progenitors, and endothelial cells. The presence of 20 wt% GPTMS conferred antibacterial properties thus inhibiting the joint pathogens Staphylococcus aureus and Staphylococcus epidermidis infection. Finally, hMSC osteogenesis was successfully supported in a 3D model as demonstrated by alkaline phosphatase release and osteogenic genes expression
The effect of magnesium on bioactivity, rheology and biology behaviors of injectable bioactive glass-gelatin-3-glycidyloxypropyl trimethoxysilane nanocomposite-paste for small bone defects repair
Injectable bioactive glass-based pastes represent promising biomaterials to fill small bone defects thus improving and speed up the self-healing process. Accordingly, injectable nanocomposite pastes based on bioactive glass-gelatin-3-glycidyloxypropyl trimethoxysilane (GPTMS) were here synthesized via two different glasses 64SiO2. 27CaO. 4MgO. 5P2O5 (mol.%) and 64SiO2.31CaO. 5P2O5 (mol.%). In particular, the effects of MgO on bioactivity, rheology, injectability, disintegration resistance, compressive strength and cellular behaviors were investigated. The results showed that the disintegration resistance and compressive strength of the composite were improved by the replacement of MgO; thus, leading to an increase in the amount of storage modulus (G′) from 26800 to 43400 Pa, equal to an increase in the viscosity of the paste from 136 × 103 to 219 × 103 Pa s. Since the release rate of ions became more controllable, the formation of calcite was decreased after immersion of the Mg bearing samples in the SBF solution. Specimens’ cytocompatibility was firstly verified towards human osteoblasts by metabolic assay as well as visually confirmed by the fluorescent live/dead staining; finally, the ability of human fibroblasts to penetrate within the pores of 3D composites was verified by a migration assay simulating the devices repopulation upon injection in the injured site
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