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    A simple panel-CADF test for unit roots

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    Copyright © Blackwell Publishing Ltd and the Department of Economics, University of Oxford 2012. This is the accepted version of the following article: Costantini, M. and Lupi, C. (2013), A Simple Panel-CADF Test for Unit Roots. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 75: 276–296, which has been published in final form at http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-0084.2012.00690.x/abstract.In this paper, we propose a simple extension to the panel case of the covariate-augmented Dickey–Fuller (CADF) test for unit roots developed in Hansen (1995). The panel test we propose is based on a P values combination approach that takes into account cross-section dependence. We show that the test has good size properties and gives power gains with respect to other popular panel approaches. An empirical application is carried out for illustration purposes on international data to test the purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis

    Identifying Stationary Series in Panels: A Monte Carlo Evaluation of Sequential Panel Selection Methods

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    Sequential panel selection methods (spsms — procedures that sequentially use conventional panel unit root tests to identify I(0) time series in panels) are increasingly used in the empirical literature. We check the reliability of spsms by using Monte Carlo simulations based on generating directly the individual asymptotic p values to be combined into the panel unit root tests, in this way isolating the classification abilities of the procedures from the small sample properties of the underlying univariate unit root tests. The simulations consider both independent and cross-dependent individual test statistics. Results suggest that spsms may offer advantages over time series tests only under special conditions

    An analysis of inflation and interest rates. New panel unit root results in the presence of structural breaks

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    This paper investigates the order of integration of inflation and interest rates in a panel of 19 countries. The results show that once multiple endogenous breaks are allowed for and appropriate critical values are used, the series appear to be I(0)

    Divergence and Long-Run Equilibria in Italian Regional Unemployment Rates

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    The Italian labour market is characterized by large and persistent regional unemployment differentials. This study uses recent panel unit root and cointegration tests to derive the long-run properties of the Italian regional unemployment disparities. The empirical evidence suggests that the stochastic convergence hypothesis can be rejected. However, the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship among regional unemployment rates cannot be excluded. Some possible implications of this finding are sketched

    Stochastic convergence among European economies

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    The aim of this paper is to test the stochastic convergence in real per capita GDP for 15 European countries using non−stationary panel data approaches over the period 1950−2003. Cross−sectional dependence is assumed due to the existence of strong linkages among European economies. However, tests derived under the assumption of cross−sectional independence are also carried out for completeness and comparison. We also split the whole sample into two sub−periods (1950−1976, 1977−2003) in order to take into account the effects of the first oil crisis (1973−1974) and to evaluate the robustness of the statistical analysis. Our results offer little support to the stochastic convergence hypothesis for the whole period, while suggest the presence of convergence in the first sub−period

    A Simple Panel-CADF Test for Unit Roots

    No full text
    In this paper, we propose a simple extension to the panel case of the covariate-augmented Dickey–Fuller (CADF) test for unit roots developed in Hansen (1995). The panel test we propose is based on a P values combination approach that takes into account cross-section dependence. We show that the test has good size properties and gives power gains with respect to other popular panel approaches.An empirical application is carried out for illustration purposes on international data to test the purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis

    Stochastic convergence among European economies

    No full text
    The aim of this paper is to test the stochastic convergence in real per capita GDP for 15 European countries using non−stationary panel data approaches over the period 1950−2003. Cross−sectional dependence is assumed due to the existence of strong linkages among European economies. However, tests derived under the assumption of cross−sectional independence are also carried out for completeness and comparison. We also split the whole sample into two sub−periods (1950−1976, 1977−2003) in order to take into account the effects of the first oil crisis (1973−1974) and to evaluate the robustness of the statistical analysis. Our results offer little support to the stochastic convergence hypothesis for the whole period, while suggest the presence of convergence in the first sub−period
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