747 research outputs found
Improving Flood Damage Assessment Models in Italy
Full text linkFlood damage assessments are often based on Stage-Damage Curve (SDC) models that estimate economic damage as a function of flood characteristics, typically flood depths, and land use. SDCs are developed through site-specific analysis but rarely adjusted to economic circumstances in areas to which they are applied. In Italy, assessments confide in SDC models developed elsewhere, even if empirical damage reports are collected after every major flood event. In this paper we tested, adapted and extended an up-to-date SDC model using flood records from Northern Italy. The model calibration is underpinned with empirical data from compensation records. Our analysis takes into account both physical asset and foregone production losses, the latter measured amidst the spatially distributed gross added value (GVA)
Economic modelling for flood risk assessment
Full text linkAerts, J.C.J.H. [Promotor]Moel, H. de [Copromotor
e.e. cummings, Poetry Reading, Part 2
No full textEdward Estlin e. e. Cummings (October 14, 1894 – September 3, 1962), often styled as e e cummings, as he sometimes signed his name, was an American poet, painter, essayist, author, and playwright. He wrote approximately 2900 poems, two autobiographical novels, four plays, and several essays. This undated recording captures cummings during his visit to Eastern Michigan University. There is no commentary between poems.https://commons.emich.edu/performances/1016/thumbnail.jp
A Multiregional Impact Assessment Model for disaster analysis
Full text linkThis paper presents a recursive dynamic multiregional supply-use model, combining linear programming and input–output (I–O) modeling to assess the economy-wide consequences of a natural disaster on a pan-European scale. It is a supply-use model which considers production technologies and allows for supply side constraints. The model has been illustrated for three floods in Rotterdam, The Netherlands. Results show that most of the neighboring regions gain from the flood due to increased demand for reconstruction and production capacity constraints in the affected region. Regions located further away or neighboring regions without a direct export link to the affected region mostly suffered small losses. These losses are due to the costs of increased inefficiencies in the production process that have to be paid for by all (indirectly) consuming regions. In the end, the floods cause regionally differentiated welfare effects
Electricity Infrastructure and Vulnerability Database for Power Gird Risk Assessment
No full text<p>This dataset is created for risk estimation of electricity infrastructure in Southeast and East Asia:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>pg_data.zip:</strong> Electricity infrastructure data in Southeast and East Asia digitalized from widely collected national-scale government power grid maps.</li>
<li><strong>input_vulnerability_data.xlsx:</strong> fragility curves and cost data of electricity infrastructure assets (i.e., power plant, substation, power tower, power pole, and power line) for tropical cyclone wind and coastal flood.</li>
<li><strong>Wind curves infomation.xlsx:</strong> detailed information of wind curves.</li>
</ul>
<p>Please consult the following publication for detailed information: Ye, M., Ward, P.J., Bloemendaal, N., Nirandjan, S., Koks, E.E. 2024. Risk analysis of natural hazards to power grids in Southeast and East Asia. [Manuscript submitted for publication].</p>
The application of the selected elements of E.E. Gordon’s Theory of Music Learning in Kazimierz Wielki University students own research in Bydgoszcz
No full textTheory of music learning, according to Gordon, is mostly directed at teachers. The text aims at showing the aspect of the application of research on E. E. Gordon’s theory into early music education teacher’s professional training. The author recognises the importance of shaping research competences of future teachers as they help students use not only practical (pedagogical), but also methodological and empirical work of E.E. Gordon’s theory. The text presents the reports from research on the application of E.E. Gordon’s Theory of Music Learning, carried out by students of early school and music education. It is important to emphasise the fact that research has been conducted according to Gordon’s procedures. Researching the application of theory of music learning refers to its selected elements within the range of application of research problems, theoretical implications and selected diagnostics solutions in music education (also E.E. Gordon’s tools). The main idea of the text revolves around more and more popular aspect of making university and teachers training relations very practical (both formal and informal). Such expectations are taken into consideration in Muzopolis project described in this text. Muzopolis from its begining has been the field of practical and empirical application of the elements of E.E. Gordon’s theory with the use of staff and student team cooperating in the Faculty of Pedagogy and Music environmen
Cielesność i ciało w E.E. Olgi Tokarczuk
No full textOlga Tokarczuk’s novel E.E. apart from the fact that it is the story of a 15-year-old girl with mediumistic abilities and her family is also affacted by the issue of corporeality. Especially inspiring, valuable cognitively and imoprtant from a perspective of this article seem to be the corporeality presentation of two main characters – Erna Eltzner and her mother. This article containing an in-deph reflection on the issue of corporeality of Olga Tokarczuk’s novel. The aim of the work is to analyze and interpret showed by Tokarczuk images of corporeality related to psychic and personality domain of the main characters. The main thesis is the assumption that corporeality is essential for the novel about the fate of Erna Eltzner. The aim is to look and subject the interpretation of the presented by Tokarczuk depiction of corporeality, capturing its function, reflection on the cosequences of the used way of imagery as well as to analyze what is the connection between the corporeality of the main character and gaining by her identity and independence. The methodology adopted in the project is based on the elements of Maurice Merleau-Ponty’s theory as well as the conception of somatopoetics by Anna Łebkowska. The essay’s author on the basis of somatopoetics theory brings us closer the functioning of the body as an interpretive category not just as a subject of literaturę, as well as using the tools created by somatopoetics examines various aspects of the manifestation of the category of corporeality in the novel
Regional disaster impact analysis: comparing Input-Output and Computable General Equilibrium models
Full text linkA variety of models have been applied to assess the economic losses of
disasters, of which the most common ones are input–output (IO) and computable
general equilibrium (CGE) models. In addition, an increasing number of
scholars have developed hybrid approaches: one that combines both or either of
them in combination with noneconomic methods. While both IO and CGE models
are widely used, they are mainly compared on theoretical grounds. Few studies
have compared disaster impacts of different model types in a systematic way
and for the same geographical area, using similar input data. Such a
comparison is valuable from both a scientific and policy perspective as the
magnitude and the spatial distribution of the estimated losses are born likely to
vary with the chosen modelling approach (IO, CGE, or hybrid). Hence, regional
disaster impact loss estimates resulting from a range of models facilitate
better decisions and policy making. Therefore, this study analyses the
economic consequences for a specific case study, using three regional
disaster impact models: two hybrid IO models and a CGE model. The case study
concerns two flood scenarios in the Po River basin in Italy. Modelling
results indicate that the difference in estimated total (national) economic
losses and the regional distribution of those losses may vary by up to a
factor of 7 between the three models, depending on the type of recovery
path. Total economic impact, comprising all Italian regions, is negative in
all models though
Effect of spatial adaptation measures on flood risk: study of coastal floods in Belgium
No full textFlood risk in coastal zones is projected to increase due to climate change and socioeconomic changes. Over the last decades, population growth, increases in wealth, and urban expansion have been found to be the main causes for increasing losses in coastal areas. These changes may, however, be offset by appropriate management measures. The main goal of this study is to assess future changes in flood risk and the effectiveness of flood risk adaptation measures for the coastal zone in Flanders, Belgium. In order to achieve this, we set up a modeling framework to assess the future flood risk of the Belgian coast including climatic and socioeconomic projections, and used this model to assess the effectiveness of two spatial adaptation measures: compartmentalization and land-use zoning. In this modeling framework, a land-use model, an inundation model, and a damage model were combined to calculate expected annual damage. Results show that without adaptation measures, future flood risk would increase substantially. Compartmentalization would result in an average flood risk reduction of approximately 50 % for both the baseline situation and future scenarios. Land-use zoning would result in smaller flood risk reductions, averaging between 6 and 10 %. Except for the most extreme climate change scenario, compartmentalization would successfully offset the combined adverse effects of socioeconomic growth and climate change on flood risk for this case study. For both compartmentalization and zoning, large differences have been found in their effectiveness at the local level, implying that the choice of adaptation measures should be tailored to local characteristics. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
A River Flood and Earthquake Risk Assessment of Railway Assets along the Belt and Road
No full textMitigating the disaster risk of transportation infrastructure networks along the Belt and Road is crucial to realizing the area’s high trade potential in the future. This study assessed the exposure and risk of existing and planned railway assets to river flooding and earthquakes. We found that about 9.3% of these railway assets are exposed to a one in 100 year flood event, and 22.3% are exposed to a one in 475 year earthquake event. The combined flood and earthquake risk of physical damage to railway assets, expressed by expected annual damage (EAD), is estimated at USD 1438 (between 966 and 2026) million. Floods contribute the majority of the risk (96%). China has the highest EAD for both floods and earthquakes (between USD 240 and 525 million in total). Laos and Cambodia are the countries with the highest EAD per km from flooding (USD 66,125–112,154 and USD 31,954–56,844 per km, respectively), while Italy and Myanmar have the highest EAD per km from earthquakes (USD 1000–3057 and USD 893–3019 per km, respectively). For the newly built and planned projects along the Belt and Road, the EAD is estimated at USD 271 (between 205 and 357) million. The China–Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor and China–Pakistan Economic Corridor have the highest absolute EAD and EAD per km, with EADs reaching USD 95 and USD 67 million, and USD 18 and USD 17 thousand per km, on average, respectively. For railway segments with high risks, we found that if the required adaptation cost within 20 years to realize a 10% increase of the railway quality is below 8.4% of the replacement cost, the benefits are positive
- …
