1,721,713 research outputs found
Feedback trading and convenience yield: evidence from carbon and energy commodity markets
No full textThe School's Out effect: A new seasonal anomaly!
No full textWe provide evidence of a new seasonal anomaly during the school vacation or School?s Out (SO) period in nine East Asia and five Mediterranean stock markets. One of its characteristics is that many investors are distracted by child care activities in family-oriented economies where the school vacations last for at least five weeks. The other is that retail investors play a prominent role in these markets. The SO effect manifests itself in a lowering of weekly share turnover by 13% in East Asia and 25% in the Mediterranean markets and in a drop in the corresponding stock returns by 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively. The falls in turnover and, to a lesser extent, returns are robust to a potential confound with other seasonal effects such as the Gone Fishin? and Sell in May and Go Away effects where these effects overlap
The lunar moon festival and the dark side of the moon
No full textWe propose and adduce evidence for a new seasonal anomaly associated with the Lunar Moon Festival (LMF) in East Asian economies. While the LMF effect bears some resemblance to the festivity and vacation anomalies, it is mainly driven by nostalgia, historically negative associations, the full moon and uncertainty about future harvest prospects. This negative sentiment and associated increase in risk and loss aversion are responsible for reducing share turnover, return volatility and stock returns over a 2-week period. The LMF effect is the strongest for China, Taiwan and South Korea where it is not only celebrated as a public or cultural holiday but it also impacts on neighbouring stock markets where overseas Chinese investors possess significant resources. Robustness checks demonstrate that it has a distinctive and more pronounced impact than competing seasonal effects associated with lunar phases and the summer vacations.
The real and accrual-based earnings management behaviors: evidence from the split share structure reform in China
Get PDFThis paper investigates the earnings management activities in Chinese listed firms and the impact of the split share structure reform (SSSREF). We demonstrate that Chinese listed firms exhibited a long-term positive relationship between real and accrual-based earnings management activities over the 2002-2011 period. This reflects the environment of weak investor protection and lack of effective corporate governance in China. Our results also indicate that the SSSREF in China has not fundamentally improved firms' quality of financial information. This may be because ownership concentration remains high. However, it is of interest that the reform has created an incentive alignment effect exogenously. We find that firms' use of discretionary accruals was constrained, and they have consequently shifted to less detectable and under-scrutinized real earnings activities after the reform. This shift is similar to that seen with the direct regulatory changes in accounting reporting rules on firms' earnings behaviors in developed countries where the investor protection environment is strong. We suggest that firms' shifting between the accrual and real-based earnings methods is an overlooked area for investors to consider in the emerging market context, and may require the attention of regulators. ?? 2014 University of Illinois
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