1,721,060 research outputs found
Replication Data for: "The Exaggerated Life of Death Panels: The Limited but Real Influence of Elite Rhetoric in the 2009-2010 Health Care Debate"
No full textThis archive contains partial replication code for the analyses reported in "The Exaggerated Life of Death Panels: The Limited but Real Influence of Elite Rhetoric in the 2009-2010 Health Care Debate." It includes the press releases analyzed in the article (framingpaper-09202017-pressreleases.zip) as well as code to estimate topic models from the press releases (healthframing-topicmodels-10062017_final.R) and separate code to analyze the press releases and survey data jointly (openendjoint100617_final.R). The raw survey data is separately available from the Roper Center (Kaiser Family Foundation) and Pew Research Center
Retrospective Voting in Big-City U.S. Mayoral Elections
No full textRetrospective voting is a central explanation for voters’ support of incumbents. Yet despite the variety of conditions facing American cities, past research has devoted little attention to retrospective voting for mayors. This paper first develops hypotheses about how local retrospective voting might differ from its national analog, due to both differing information and the presence of national benchmarks. It then analyzes retrospective voting using the largest data set on big-city mayoral elections between 1990 and 2011 to date. Neither crime rates nor property values consistently influence incumbent mayors’ vote shares, nor do changes in local conditions. However, low city-level unemployment relative to national unemployment correlates with higher incumbent support. The urban voter is a particular type of retrospective voter, one who compares local economic performance to conditions elsewhere. Moreover, these effects appear to be present only in cities that dominate their media markets, suggesting media outlets’ role in facilitating retrospective voting
Retrospective Voting in Big-City U.S. Mayoral Elections
No full textRetrospective voting is a central explanation for voters’ support of incumbents. Yet despite the variety of conditions facing American cities, past research has devoted little attention to retrospective voting for mayors. This paper first develops hypotheses about how local retrospective voting might differ from its national analog, due to both differing information and the presence of national benchmarks. It then analyzes retrospective voting using the largest data set on big-city mayoral elections between 1990 and 2011 to date. Neither crime rates nor property values consistently influence incumbent mayors’ vote shares, nor do changes in local conditions. However, low city-level unemployment relative to national unemployment correlates with higher incumbent support. The urban voter is a particular type of retrospective voter, one who compares local economic performance to conditions elsewhere. Moreover, these effects appear to be present only in cities that dominate their media markets, suggesting media outlets’ role in facilitating retrospective voting
Replication Data for: Stable Views in a Time of Tumult: Assessing Trends in American Public Opinion, 2007-2020
No full textThe violent conclusion of Trump's 2017-2021 presidency has produced sobering reassessments of American democracy. Elected officials' actions necessarily implicate public opinion, but to what extent did Trump's presidency and its anti-democratic efforts reflect shifts in public opinion in prior years? Were there attitudinal changes that served as early-warning signs? We answer those questions via a 15-wave, population-based panel spanning 2007 to 2020. Specifically, we track attitudes on system legitimacy and election fairness, assessments of Trump and other politicians, and open-ended explanations of vote choice and party perceptions. Across measures, there was little movement in public opinion foreshadowing Trump's norm-upending presidency, although levels of out-party animus were consistently high. Recent shifts in public opinion were thus not a primary engine of the Trump presidency's anti-democratic efforts or their violent conclusion. Such stability suggests that understanding the precipitating causes of those efforts requires attention to other actors, including activists and elites
Replication Data for: Results from a 2020 Field Experiment Encouraging Voting by Mail
No full textThese files include a data set (935,745 rows) on Philadelphia registered voters' turnout and vote methods in the June 2nd 2020 primary. It also includes a codebook and R code necessary to replicate the analyses presented in the corresponding article
Replication Data for: Unresponsive and Unpersuaded: The Unintended Effects of Voter Persuasion Efforts
No full textCan randomized experiments at the individual level help assess the persuasive effects of campaign tactics? To answer that question, we analyze a field experiment conducted during the 2008 presidential election in which 56,000 registered voters in Wisconsin were assigned to persuasive canvassing, phone calls, and/or mail. We find that persuasive appeals by canvassers had two unintended consequences. First, they reduced responsiveness to a follow-up survey among infrequent voters, a substantively interesting behavioral response that has implications for the statistical analysis of persuasion experiments. Second, the persuasive appeals possibly reduced candidate support and certainly did not increase it. This counter-intuitive finding is reinforced by multiple statistical methods and suggests that contact by a political campaign can engender a backlash
Replication Data for: The Activation of Prejudice and Presidential Voting: Panel Evidence from the 2016 U.S. Election
No full textThis data set provides the core measures necessary to replicate the manuscript's analyses of vote preference in the 2012 and 2016 U.S. presidential elections
Replication Data for: "The Exaggerated Life of Death Panels: The Limited but Real Influence of Elite Rhetoric in the 2009-2010 Health Care Debate"
No full textThis archive contains partial replication code for the analyses reported in "The Exaggerated Life of Death Panels: The Limited but Real Influence of Elite Rhetoric in the 2009-2010 Health Care Debate." It includes the press releases analyzed in the article (framingpaper-09202017-pressreleases.zip) as well as code to estimate topic models from the press releases (healthframing-topicmodels-10062017_final.R) and separate code to analyze the press releases and survey data jointly (openendjoint100617_final.R). The raw survey data is separately available from the Roper Center (Kaiser Family Foundation) and Pew Research Center
Replication Data for: The Activation of Prejudice and Presidential Voting: Panel Evidence from the 2016 U.S. Election
No full textThis data set provides the core measures necessary to replicate the manuscript's analyses of vote preference in the 2012 and 2016 U.S. presidential elections
Replication Data for: Unsubscribed and Undemanding: Partisanship and the Minimal Effects of a Field Experiment Encouraging Local News Consumption
No full textLocal newspapers convey extensive subnational political information but have dwindling audiences. In a nationalized and polarized information environment, can online interventions increase state/local news consumption and with what effects? We explore this question via a pre-registered experiment randomizing Pennsylvania residents (n=5,059) to staggered interventions encouraging news consumption from leading state newspapers. 2,529 individuals were offered free online subscriptions, but only 44 subscribed; we find little evidence of treatment effects on knowledge, engagement, or attitudes. We then administered a second treatment element-promoting subnational news directly via Facebook feeds-with a higher application rate but similarly limited impacts. Observational analyses of these respondents and separate national samples show that Democratic political partisanship has come to predict local newspaper subscriptions. Contemporary local newspapers may face a demand-side dilemma: the engaged citizens who formerly read them now prefer national, partisan content
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