1,721,028 research outputs found
Demand for money in China
No full textThis research investigates the long-run equilibrium relationship between money demand and its determinants in China over the period 1952-2004 for three definitions of money – currency in circulation m0, narrow money m1 and broad money m2. The appropriate dummy variable has been added into the functions to assess and evaluate effects of economic reform in China. The additional influences on money demand in China, such as wages, monetization process and saving effects are explored. The real wage index w, the ratio of urban population to total population ROP, the ratio of total deposit to currency DCR, and the ratio of total deposit to income RDG have been considered as additional variables in the same money demand functions. To test the stable long-run money demand functions, the Engle-Granger two-stage cointegration method (EGTS), Phillips-Hansen cointegration approach, Pesaran et al. (2001) ARDL cointegration procedure along with CUSUM and CUSUMSQ stability tests and Johansen Multivariate Cointegration procedures are employed. Granger Causality Test is applied to indicate either uni-directional or bi-directional causality exists in the variables. Wald tests for homogeneity and parameter constancy tests are employed in this study as well.
The estimation results, especially the cointegration analyses show that the real money demand functions perform better than the nominal money demand functions. Narrow money demand m1 presents more satisfactory coefficients than the other two in terms of economic theory and econometric diagnostics. The stabilisation policy should primarily aim at the narrow money m1. This study reveals that the economic reform did bring significant changes to the Chinese economy. Income is shown to be the most important determinant of money demand. The other additional variables also have significant effects on the money demand. The wage index influence on money demand models is important. The raise of monetization process made the money play a more vital role. The impact of ratio of total deposit to income is significant
Foreign Direct Investments and Turkey
No full textThis study is concerned with the foreign direct investments flows from and out of Turkey in terms of regional and sectoral distributions during the period of 2000-2007. It is noted that Turkey imports substantial amount of foreign direct investment from the European continent. The majority of the foreign direct investments flows into Turkey is placed in services sector whilst Turkish capital seems to be invested in industry and services sectors. The main factors of attracting the foreign direct investments flows into Turkey for the period of 2000-2006 are analyzed as well as their implications for the period of 2007-2011. It is forecasted that Turkey will receive, on average, 20 billion US dollar worth foreign direct investment during the period of 2007-2011 per year.FDI; Forecasting; Turkey
The Bilateral J-curve: Turkey versus her 13 Trading Partners
No full textThis study empirically analyses bilateral J-curve dynamics of Turkey with her thirteen trading partners using quarterly time series data over the period 1985-2005. Previous studies on the J-curve of Turkey are based on only aggregate data and they reveal mixed results. Short and long-run impacts of the depreciation of Turkish lira on the trade balance between Turkey and her thirteen trading partners are estimated from the bound testing approach and error correction modeling. The empirical results indicate that whilst there is no J-curve effect in the short-run, but in the long-run, the real depreciation of the Turkish lira has positive impact on Turkey’s trade balance in couple of countries. The stability of the long-run trade balance equations is also checked through CUSUM and CUSUMSQ stability tests.J-curve; co-integration; stability tests; Turkey
Modelling life expectancy in Turkey
No full textThis study is concerned with understanding the factors of life expectancy in Turkey for the period 1965-2005. The determinants of life expectancy in Turkey are related to selected social, economical and environmental factors. Bounds testing approach to cointegration is employed to compute the long-run elasticities of longevity with respect to the selected economic, social and environmental factors. There exists no previous study that estimates empirically the determinants of life expectancy in Turkey on the basis of time series data and cointegration framework. Empirical results suggest that nutrition and food availability along with health expenditures are the main positive factors for improving longevity whereas smoking seems to be the main cause for mortality. The results also draw a number of policy recommendations for improving longevity
Economics Research Ranking Place of Turkey in Europe
No full textThis research article evaluates the research rankings of economists and economics departments of Turkey with respect to the top 10 economists and departments in Europe using RePEc data base as of December 2012. This article also provides some useful policy recommendations for improving the research rankings of Turkish economists and economics institutions
Testing Wagner's Law for Turkey, 1960-2000
No full textThis paper presents an empirical analysis of Wagner’s law in the case of Turkey over the period 1960–2000. The paper uses modern time-series econometric techniques to test the law’s proposition that in the course of economic development, government expenditures increase. The results of this study do not support the empirical validity of Wagner’s law for Turkey for the period 1960–2000. However, the paper finds statistical evidence for an augmented version of Wagner’s law.
An empirical study of relationship between FIFA world ranking and domestic football competition level: the case of Turkey
No full textThis research is aimed at establishing a bivariate long-run association between FIFA country ranking and domestic football competition level in the case of Turkey. To test this hypothesis empirically, coefficient of variation values are computed seasonally for Turkish Super League over 1994-2010. This variable along the FIFA ranking of Turkey in the same period are used in the framework of ARDL approach to cointegration. The empirical results suggest that a 1% increase in the domestic football competition level leads to 1.14% rise in the FIFA ranking of Turkey. The post-sample variance decompositions also confirm the long-run relationship
Dynamics of obesity in Finland
No full textThe purpose of this research is to study empirically the dynamics of obesity in Finland and provide empirical evidence of temporal causality between obesity, health expenditure, unemployment, urbanization, alcohol consumption and calorie intake. The paper employs bounds testing cointegration procedure and augmented causality tests. The empirical results suggest the existence of cointegration amongst the variables. Augmented Granger causality tests indicate the existence of a long-run causality as well as three different pairs of short-run causalities. The study draws some important policy recommendations
Research on the Prediction of the likely Winners of the Euro 2008 Football Tournament
No full textThe objective of this research is to provide a statistical measurement to predict the likely winners of international football tournaments with particular reference to the Euro 2008 football tournament. This research argues that there exists a positive relationship between the competitive balance and success in international football tournaments. The level of the competitive balance in a domestic football league is measured by the seasonal coefficients of variation (CV) of the end-of-season points. The CV values are employed as ranking indicators between the contesting countries in international football tournaments to predict the likely winners. The seasonal CV values are computed from the top divison football leagues of participating countries of Euro 1996, Euro 2000, Euro 2004, and Euro 2008, in order to rank and to predict the likely winner of these tournaments. The results indicate that the higher the level of domestic competition the better chance of winning an international football tournament. The CV ranking is also compared to UEFA ranking and to the odds of some well known bookmakers in predicting the likely winners of the Euro 2008 football tournament. On the basis of the overall results, this research predicts that the likely winners of the Euro 2008 football tournament would be France, Spain or Germany.Competitive balance, Football, Ranking, UEFA, Sports forecasts.
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