40,648 research outputs found

    A 2 h periodic variation in the low-mass X-ray binary Ser X-1

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    Spectroscopy of the low-mass X-ray binary Ser X-1 using the Gran Telescopio Canarias have revealed a ?2 h periodic variability that is present in the three strongest emission lines. We tentatively interpret this variability as due to orbital motion, making it the first indication of the orbital period of Ser X-1. Together with the fact that the emission lines are remarkably narrow, but still resolved, we show that a main-sequence K dwarf together with a canonical 1.4 M? neutron star gives a good description of the system. In this scenario, the most likely place for the emission lines to arise is the accretion disc, instead of a localized region in the binary (such as the irradiated surface or the stream-impact point), and their narrowness is due instead to the low inclination (?10°) of Ser X-1

    Using performance assessment in secondary school mathematics: an empirical study in a Singapore classroom

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    This article reports an exploratory study on using performance assessment in mathematics instruction in a high-performing secondary school in Singapore. An intact mathematics class participated in the study, and received chapter-based performance tasks as intervention during regular mathematics lessons for about one and a half school years. The performance tasks used included authentic and/or open-ended tasks. The students’ academic achievements and attitudes in mathematics were compared with a comparison class that did not receive the intervention. Both quantitative and qualitative data were collected, mainly through questionnaire surveys, performance task tests, conventional school exams, and interviews with students and teachers. The results suggest that the students receiving the intervention performed significantly better than their counterparts in solving conventional exam problems, and in general they also showed more positive changes in attitudes towards mathematics and mathematics learning. The students from the experimental class also expressed positive views about the benefits of using performance tasks in promoting their ability in higher order thinking, though no statistically significant difference was detected between the two classes of students in solving unconventional tasks before and after intervention. Overall, the results appear to support teachers’ using contextualised problems in real life situations and open-ended investigations in students’ learning of mathematic

    A scholarly catalogue raisonné: George Wilson and the engraved fan leaf design 1795-1801

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    ABSTRACT This research thesis offers a small but comprehensive scholarly catalogue raisonné of the surviving unmounted fan leaves designed and printed by the late eighteenth-century English fan leaf engraver, George Wilson (active before 1795-after 1801). Wilson’s extant output of nineteen fan leaf engravings published in London now exist in storage within the Prints and Drawing Department of the British Museum, after the receipt of two bequests from Lady Charlotte Schreiber (1812-1895) in the late nineteenth century. The individual fan leaf designs discussed in this catalogue raisonné include a number of reprinted fan leaves from the same engraving design. There follows a chronological catalogue listing, and discussion of, all the different fan leaves designed by Wilson, collected by Lady Schreiber and subsequently bequeathed to the British Museum. The variety of subject matter depicted on these fan leaf designs underscore the differing types of themes Wilson engaged with in his engraved production. Analysis of the three main areas of Wilson’s fan leaf design work, female ‘advisory’ fan leaves, overtly satirical, and nationalistic fan leaves, reveal that Wilson’s fan leaf imagery engaged, to a great extent, with cultural concerns about the turbulences of late eighteenth-century life in London, as well as effectively modernising aesthetic precedents and contemporary graphic design. In particular, it becomes apparent that Wilson’s fan leaves effectively engage with late eighteenth-century feminine pre-occupations of choosing the right moral path to happiness, moderation in daily life, marriage and bearing children, in addition to illustrating the perceived multitude of follies translated from contemporary literary and pictorial sources. One of the predominant concerns in his catalogue of work is revealed to be the age old theme of the cycle of birth, reproduction and death, alongside a sustained pictorial focus upon feminine concerns and pre-occupations

    Different types of gravity-driven flow deposits and associated bedforms in the Upper Bengal Fan, offshore Myanmar

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    This study uses 3D reflection seismic data to investigate how sediment gravity flows contribute to the evolution of the lower continental slope of the Myanmar margin that is part of the Bengal Fan, the largest deep-water fan system in the world. Seafloor and subseafloor data show large sediment wave fields that developed on both flanks of an extensive submarine canyon. The sediment waves exhibit asymmetric stoss and lee sides, wave lengths and heights of 850–3000 m and 25–70 m, respectively, and an upslope direction of migration. Seismic data reveals the presence of multiple fields of vertically stacked sediment waves, interbedded with units characterised by a chaotic seismic facies that accumulate mainly in the troughs of the sediment waves and can be tracked laterally to the adjacent canyons. According to their seismic facies, geometry, and internal architecture these chaotic units are interpreted as debrites. Seismic attributes extracted from different horizons indicate that the sediment waves are dominated by fine-grained sediment, while the debrites are probably associated with coarser-grained deposits. The debrites fill the troughs of the sediment waves, as well as the downstream portions of canyon thalweg, thus flattening the paleo-seafloor. The sediment waves are interpreted as cyclic steps formed by low-density turbidity currents flowing across the slope down to the basin floor, where the change in gradient favours the formation of hydraulic jumps and the transition from supercritical to subcritical flow conditions. A conceptual model for the sediment wave evolution was proposed for the study area, in the transitional environment on the lower slope, with low-density gravity flow deposits and high-density debris flow deposits alternatively accumulating on the major gravity flow conduits

    Use of fan rig data for the understanding and prediction of fan broadband noise and noise changes due to a variable area nozzle

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    This thesis presents the results of the research component of this EngD, entitledUse of fan rig data for the understanding and prediction of fan broadband noise and noisechanges due to a variable area nozzleAs suggested by the title, fan rig noise measurements form an integral part of this thesis. Theanalysis of a database of rig noise measurements forms the first section of this thesis, in twoparts. The first part describes the analysis of a set of fan rig noise measurements, including thevariation of fan broadband and tone noise in forward and rearward arcs. The second partexamines a large database of fan rig noise measurements, and attempts to derive correlationsof fan broadband noise and fan performance parameters. Cluster Analysis, PrincipleComponent Analysis, and Regression Analysis are used to understand and describe theunderlying physics of broadband noise generation and the relationships between thesepredictors.The second section of this thesis uses a cascade broadband noise model to investigate rotorstatorbroadband noise. Predictions of the broadband noise from this noise model arecompared to rig measurements, showing good accuracy. The underlying physics of rotorstatorbroadband noise generation is investigated by performing two parametric studies usingthe broadband noise model. The first parametric study investigates the effect on broadbandnoise of simple flow and geometric parameters, namely number of vanes, vane chord, vanestagger angle, and rotor wake turbulence intensity, turbulent length scale, and flow Machnumber onto the cascade. These results are used to derive scaling power laws for theprediction of changes in broadband noise due to changes in these parameters. The secondparametric study expands upon this by investigating the effect on broadband noise of the fandesign parameters shaft speed, pressure ratio, and efficiency, at approach, cutback and cruiseconditions. The variation in broadband noise due to these design parameters is explained byconsidering the underlying flow and geometric parameters such as number of vanes and Machnumber, and the scaling power laws based on these simple parameters are used to predict thechange in broadband noise between different performance points.The final section of this thesis investigates the effect of varying exhaust nozzle area on totalengine noise. A new method is presented that allows the transfer of changes in fan rig noise toEugene P. Deane EngD Thesis September 2009 2engine noise predictions, to estimate the change in fan noise due to the pressure ratio changesbrought about by a variable area nozzle. Changes in engine noise are investigated forapproach, cutback, and sideline conditions, and the application of the new method assessed.As the research displayed in this thesis is closely linked to industry, the foundation of workpresented in several chapters is dependent on data or figures that are commercially sensitive.It has therefore been necessary to create a confidential appendix (Appendix X) to includethese commercially sensitive items. These additional results and figures in Appendix X aresupplementary in nature, and sufficient results are presented in the public thesis to illustratethe results of the various chapters. Where supplementary information and results are available,this is clearly indicated at the pertinent point in the published thesis, along with the section ofAppendix X where the information can be found

    Development of a Method for Enhanced Fan Representation in Gas Turbine Modeling

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    A challenge in civil aviation future propulsion systems is expected to be the integration with the airframe, coming as a result of increasing bypass ratio or above wing installations for noise mitigation. The resulting highly distorted inlet flows to the engine, make a clear demand for advanced gas turbine performance prediction models. Since the dawn of jet engine several models have been proposed and the present work comes to add a model that combines two well established compressor performance methods in order to create a quasi three dimensional representation of the fan of a modern turbofan. A streamline curvature model is coupled to a parallel compressor method, covering radial and circumferential directions respectively. Model testing has shown a close agreement to experimental data, making it a good candidate for assessing the loss of surge margin on a high bypass ratio turbofan, semi-embedded on the upper surface of a broad wing airframe

    Flares in the changing look AGN Mrk 590-I. The UV response to X-ray outbursts suggests a more complex reprocessing geometry than a standard disc

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    Mrk 590 is a known changing-look active galactic nuclei (AGNs) which almost turned off in 2012, and then in 2017 partially re-ignited into a repeat flaring state, unusual for an AGN. Our Swift observations since 2013 allow us to characterize the accretion-generated emission and its reprocessing in the central engine of a changing-look AGN. The X-ray and UV variability amplitudes are higher than those typically observed in 'steady-state' AGN at similar moderate accretion rates; instead, the variability is similar to that of highly accreting AGN. The unusually strong X-ray to UV correlation suggests that the UV-emitting region is directly illuminated by X-ray outbursts. We find evidence that the X-rays are reprocessed by two UV components, with the dominant one at similar to 3 d and a faint additional reprocessor at near-zero lag. However, we exclude a significant contribution from diffuse broad line region continuum, known to contribute for bonafide AGN. A near-zero lag is expected for a standard 'lamp-post' disc reprocessing model with a driving continuum source near the black hole. That the overall UV response is dominated by the similar to 3-d lagged component suggests a complicated reprocessing geometry, with most of the UV continuum not produced in a compact disc, as also found in recent studies of NGC 5548 and NGC 4151. None the less, the observed flares display characteristic time-scales of similar to 100 rest-frame days, consistent with the expected thermal time-scale in an accretion disc.</p

    Are Bayesian Fan Charts Useful for Central Banks? Uncertainty, Forecasting, and Financial Stability Stress Tests

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    This paper shows how fan charts generated from Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) models can be useful for assessing 1) the forecasting accuracy of central banks’ prediction models and 2) the credibility of stress tests carried out to evaluate financial stability. Using unique data from the Czech National Bank (CNB), we compare our BVAR fan charts for inflation, GDP growth, interest rate and the exchange rate to those of the CNB, which are based on past forecasting errors. Our results suggest that in terms of the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion, BVAR fan charts typically do not outperform those of the CNB, providing a useful cross-check of their accuracy. However, we show how BVAR fan charts can rigorously deal with the non-negativity constraint on the nominal interest rate and usefully complement the official fan charts. Finally, we put forward how BVAR fan charts can be useful for assessing financial stability and propose a simple method for evaluating whether the assumptions of banks’ stress tests about the macroeconomic outlook are sufficiently adverse.Bayesian vector autoregression, fan chart, inflation targeting, stress tests, uncertainty.

    Fiscal fan charts - A tool for assessing member states’ (likely?) compliance with EU fiscal rules

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    This paper sets out a methodology for constructing fan charts for the government deficit and debt ratios over the medium-term. It relies on information contained in Stability/Convergence Programme Updates, a model of the relevant stochastic process (for example, the real GDP process) or processes, and a parameter estimate of the sensitivity of the primary budget balance to the output gap for the member state under consideration. A model of the dynamic deficit-debt relationship allows the impact of random output growth to work its way through the fiscal arithmetic in a consistent and traceable way to produce fan charts over a five-year forecast horizon. The initial set of fiscal fan charts included here for Ireland use the indicative public finance projections set out in the 2011 Update for Ireland. The range of possible fiscal outcomes in the charts assumes no fiscal policy response to any change in the budgetary position over the period such as could arise from changes in growth rates. This assumption of “no policy change” is a standard one in the construction of fan charts. Governments will, however, generally be in a position to adjust fiscal policy towards meeting a specific fiscal target, such as reaching a deficit position of less than 3 percent of GDP in the medium-term. A second set of fan charts is included which indicates how the probabilistic range of fiscal outcomes could be affected by a tightening of fiscal policy in 2013-2015.Programme Updates, fan charts, fiscal arithmetic, stochastic processes, prediction regions
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