1,720,985 research outputs found
Causality and cointegration between export, import and economic growth: evidence from Morocco
This article investigates the relationship between export, import and economic growth using annual time series data for the Moroccan economy over the period 1980-2013. The cointegration technique has been employed to see the long run equilibrium relationship among variables. For this end, Granger causality test based on vector error correction model (VECM) has been adopted to see both short and long run causality among the variables. The cointegration results confirm the existence of the long-run relationship among these variables. For the short-run causality, the findings suggest (i) bidirectional causality between economic growth and import, (ii) unidirectional causality that run from export to import, and (iii) no-directional causality between economic growth and export
Discrimination positive territoriale dans l’éducation comme un pylône du développement économique: une analyse pour le cas du Maroc
Education remains at the heart of political and economic debates in Morocco. The main issues facing Morocco are: How to generalize and standardize the education system throughout its territory? How to improve the quality and efficiency of his teaching in Morocco? The level of economic development remains fragile and sensitive, marked by an unfair development between the 12 Moroccan regions. For this purpose, also treated what is supposed to be unequal is unfair. We must abandon the principle of equal treatment of students throughout the country. This is obviously to compensate for the initial inequalities. Putting this policy in the name of equity seems socially just. Educational justice means not only the same educational policies but also equal access and results. An egalitarian system must focus on improving the quality of schools serving the poorest regions of the country and the poorest classes in society. The reason is simple: a well educated and well cared population will be more productive, which is a source of continuous growth that can benefit everyone. For this reason, the starting point is to establish a unique school, carrying the ideals of freedom, equality, solidarity, principles of citizenship, secularism, respect for others, universalism and unit. In addition, it is necessary to introduce digital into the education system and to diversify and encourage language learning (in addition to two official languages) such as English, Japanese,or Chinese
Identifying and characterizing the business cycle: the case of Morocco
This paper describes the key features of the Moroccan business cycles during the period 1980:q1-2012:q1. In particular, this paper identifies the chronologies in classical and growth cycles (expansion and contraction phases and full cycles in real gross domestic product). Using the modified BB algorithm, I have found eight business cycles and the ninth is not yet achieved. Then, I have would to analysis of the main features in these cycles by applying the method of Harding and Pagan (2001) which has shown that the Moroccan economy characterized by the average cumulative gain is more important than the cumulative loss and by the domination of expansion phases
Classification des secteurs créateurs d'emplois au Maroc : Analyse du multiplicateur d'emploi par le modèle input-output
National audienceLe présent article a pour objectif d'identifier les secteurs créateurs d’emplois à l’aide de l’analyse input-output en calculant les multiplicateurs d’emploi. Cette analyse permet de simuler l'impact de développement des différents secteurs de l’économie marocaine sur la création d'emploi. Ainsi, l'adoption de politiques sectorielles créatrices de richesses et d’emplois s’avère nécessaire pour remédier à la problématique du chômage au Maroc. Pour ce faire, il convient de mettre en place une stratégie pour la promotion de la croissance économique et la création d'emplois à travers l'investissement dans les secteurs créateurs d’emplois. Les principaux résultats de cette étude montrent que les investissements doivent s'orienter vers les industries de "raffinage de pétrole et autres", les industries "alimentaire et tabac", les industries "chimique et parachimique" et les industries "mécanique, métallurgique et électrique" qui ont des multiplicateurs d’emploi très élevés, mais sans négliger le secteur des "bâtiments et travaux publics", le secteur de "transports", le secteur d’"agriculture, chasse et services annexes" et le secteur de la "pêche, aquaculture" car ils ont un emploi direct très élevé
Effect of Parent’s International Migration on the Educational Performances of Left-Behind Children in Morocco
This study tries to examine the effects of parent’s international migration on educational outcomes of left-behind children, focusing especially On the relative importance of family environment and school characteristics to educational achievements of left-behind children. For that, a sample from the survey study in Fkih Ben Salah as a small town in Morocco, located in the Béni Mellal-Khénifra region. This survey is administered in 2020 on 407 children from 16 primary school. The results of the prospensity score matching method showed that the internzationale migration of parents had a significant effect on the school performance of their left behind children ;furthermore ,the analysis using the Oaxaca -Blinder decomposition showed that 36.34% of the differences in the children’s school performance in first semester for year of 2020 can be explained by student–teacher ratio, size class and socio-economic index of class are 12.82%,38.47% and 31.35% of the gap, respectively. The empirical findings reveal also that Left behind children are at risk of facing social exclusion, especially in public schools
Effect of Parent’s International Migration on the Educational Performances of Left-Behind Children in Morocco
This study tries to examine the effects of parent’s international migration on educational outcomes of left-behind children, focusing especially On the relative importance of family environment and school characteristics to educational achievements of left-behind children. For that, a sample from the survey study in Fkih Ben Salah as a small town in Morocco, located in the Béni Mellal-Khénifra region. This survey is administered in 2020 on 407 children from 16 primary school. The results of the prospensity score matching method showed that the internzationale migration of parents had a significant effect on the school performance of their left behind children ;furthermore ,the analysis using the Oaxaca -Blinder decomposition showed that 36.34% of the differences in the children’s school performance in first semester for year of 2020 can be explained by student–teacher ratio, size class and socio-economic index of class are 12.82%,38.47% and 31.35% of the gap, respectively. The empirical findings reveal also that Left behind children are at risk of facing social exclusion, especially in public schools
Economic Growth and Jobs Creation in Morocco: Overall and Sectors’ Analysis
Employment is linked to growth at least in the long-run. Thus, to reduce structurally unemployment it is necessary to boost growth. Thus, any strategy seeking to reduce unemployment must be devised with a good knowledge of the growth content in terms of jobs. In this paper, we use Okun’s law, arc point elasticity, and a simple econometric model to assess the intensity of the links between economic growth and (un)employment in Morocco. Okun’s law provides evidence that economic growth in Morocco is linked with a reduction of the unemployment rate. The sectors intensities to create jobs are very different and provide unsystematic results. Using an average measure of elasticity over the period 1999-2009, we find that many sectors were net losers of jobs. The overall growth-elasticity of employment is positive but low
A Case Study of Relationship between CO2 Emissions, Growth, Energy and Electricity Consumptions in Morocco
Given the uncontrolled increase in environmental pollution and degradation of environmental quality worldwide, the environmental impact of economic growth has become a major focus in recent decades the most important question is: How does economic growth effect environmental quality? This study addressed this issue, examining the nature of the long-run relationship between economic growth per capita and pollutant emissions in Morocco. For this reason, the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) modeling approach was used from 1990 to 2020. This approach mainly includes time series analysis and cointegration. The relationship tested introduces four variables: carbon dioxide (CO2), energy consumption per capita, electricity consumption per capita and GDP per capita. The main results indicate a long-term relationship between economic growth, energy consumption and CO2 emissions, indicating that a 1% increase in electricity consumption increases CO2 emissions by 0.36%. On the other hand, a 1% increase in GDP per capita increases CO2 emissions by 0.76%, and a 1% increase in energy consumption increases emissions by 2.06%. Thus, all variables show a significant effect.
In conclusion, the strategy that Morocco needs to follow to solve our problems is to prioritize investment in research, development and artificial intelligence, while providing adequate training in energy-related fields
Determinants of the recent growth surge in Africa: what changed since mid-1990s?
Growth performance of African countries since their independence in the late 1950s until mid-1990s is qualified by many scholars as a tragedy. Geography, ethnic fractionalization, conflicts and wars, bad policies, predatory elites, and many other phenomena were the factors presumed to explain the poor or catastrophic growth performance of the bulk of African countries. Fortunately, a revival of the economic growth in the majority of African countries is observed since mid-1990s. Identification of the factors that are instrumental of this growth’s surge is of prime importance for policy makers. It is so because growth is the condition, even not sufficient one, to poverty reduction and improvement of standards of life in Africa. In spite of the structural differences between African countries, many factors affect their economies in the same manner. One major result of our paper is that contrary to what is the common belief in the 1970s, 1980s and the first half of the 1990s, investment was positively linked to growth in African countries in the period 2000-2009
The Impact of Economic Growth, Energy and Electricity Consumption Usage on CO2 Emissions: A Case Study of Morocco
Given the uncontrolled increase in environmental pollution and degradation of environmental quality worldwide, the environmental impact of economic growth has become a major focus in recent decades the most important question is: How does economic growth affect environmental quality? This study addressed this issue, examining the nature of the long-run relationship between economic growth per capita and pollutant emissions in Morocco. For this reason, the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) modeling approach was used from 1990 to 2020. This approach mainly includes time series analysis and cointegration. The relationship tested introduces four variables: carbon dioxide (CO2), energy consumption per capita, electricity consumption per capita and GDP per capita. The main results indicate a long-term relationship between economic growth, energy consumption and CO2 emissions, indicating that a 1% increase in electricity consumption increases CO2 emissions by 0.36%. On the other hand, a 1% increase in GDP per capita increases CO2 emissions by 0.76%, and a 1% increase in energy consumption increases emissions by 2.06%. Thus, all variables show a significant effect.
In conclusion, the strategy that Morocco needs to follow to solve our problems is to prioritize investment in research, development and artificial intelligence, while providing adequate training in energy-related fields
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