1,721,053 research outputs found
High-resolution estimates of social distancing feasibility, mapped for urban areas in sub-Saharan Africa
Social distancing has been widely-implemented as a public health measure during the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite widespread application of social distancing guidance, the feasibility of people adhering to such guidance varies in different settings, influenced by population density, the built environment and a range of socio-economic factors. Social distancing constraints however have only been identified and mapped for limited areas. Here, we present an ease of social distancing index, integrating metrics on urban form and population density derived from new multi-country building footprint datasets and gridded population estimates. The index dataset provides estimates of social distancing feasibility, mapped at high-resolution for urban areas across 50 countries in sub-Saharan Africa
Ease of Social Distancing Index, mapped for urban areas in sub-Saharan Africa (single country update for Sierra Leone), version 1.1
Social distancing is a public health measure intended to reduce infectious disease transmission, by maintaining physical distance between individuals or households. In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, populations in many countries around the world have been advised to maintain social distance (also referred to as physical distance), with distances of 6 feet or 2 metres commonly advised. Feasibility of social distancing is dependent on the availability of space and the number of people, which varies geographically. In locations where social distancing is difficult, a focus on alternative measures to reduce disease transmission may be needed.</span
Ease of Social Distancing Index, mapped for urban areas in sub-Saharan Africa, version 1.0
Social distancing is a public health measure intended to reduce infectious disease transmission, by maintaining physical distance between individuals or households. In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, populations in many countries around the world have been advised to maintain social distance (also referred to as physical distance), with distances of 6 feet or 2 metres commonly advised. Feasibility of social distancing is dependent on the availability of space and the number of people, which varies geographically. In locations where social distancing is difficult, a focus on alternative measures to reduce disease transmission may be needed.
To help identify locations where social distancing is difficult, we have developed an ease of social distancing index. This dataset provides index values for small spatial units (vector polygons) within urban areas in sub-Saharan Africa. The ease of social distancing index is calculated based on the space available around buildings and population density. Index values were calculated for small spatial units, typically bounded by roads, rivers or other features. Measures of population density were calculated from high-resolution gridded population datasets from WorldPop, and the space available around buildings was calculated using building footprint polygons derived from satellite imagery.</span
Mapping urban physical distancing constraints, sub-Saharan Africa : a case study from Kenya
With the onset of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, public health measures such as physical distancing were recommended to reduce transmission of the virus causing the disease. However, the same approach in all areas, regardless of context, may lead to measures being of limited effectiveness and having unforeseen negative consequences, such as loss of livelihoods and food insecurity. A prerequisite to planning and implementing effective, context-appropriate measures to slow community transmission is an understanding of any constraints, such as the locations where physical distancing would not be possible. Focusing on sub-Saharan Africa, we outline and discuss challenges that are faced by residents of urban informal settlements in the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. We describe how new geospatial data sets can be integrated to provide more detailed information about local constraints on physical distancing and can inform planning of alternative ways to reduce transmission of COVID-19 between people. We include a case study for Nairobi County, Kenya, with mapped outputs which illustrate the intra-urban variation in the feasibility of physical distancing and the expected difficulty for residents of many informal settlement areas. Our examples demonstrate the potential of new geospatial data sets to provide insights and support to policy-making for public health measures, including COVID-19
Modelled gridded population estimates for Lualaba Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo version 4.4.
This data release provides gridded population estimates (spatial resolution of 3 arc-seconds, approximately 100-metre grid cells) for Lualaba Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), along with estimates of the number of people belonging to various age-sex groups. The project team used the Pre-Distribution Registration Survey (PDRS) data from the National Malaria Control Programme (PNLP) collected as part of anti-malarial campaigns in the DRC for 2023, settlement extents and geospatial covariates to model and estimate population numbers at grid cell level using a Bayesian statistical hierarchical modelling framework. The approach facilitated simultaneous accounting for the multiple levels of variability within the data. It also allowed the quantification of uncertainties in parameter estimates. These model-based population estimates can be considered as most accurately representing the year 2023. This time period corresponds to the PDRS survey date for Lualaba. Although the methods were robust enough to explicitly account for key random biases within the datasets, it is noted that systematic biases, which may arise from sources other than random errors within the observed data collection process, are most likely to remain.
These data were produced by the WorldPop Research Group at the University of Southampton. This work was part of the GRID3 – Phase 2 Scaling project, with funding from the Gates Foundation (INV-044979). Project partners included GRID3 Inc, the Center for Integrated Earth System Information (CIESIN) within the Columbia Climate School at Columbia University, and WorldPop at the University of Southampton. The final statistical modelling was designed, developed, and implemented by Chris Nnanatu. Data processing was done by Ortis Yankey with additional support from Heather Chamberlain. Project oversight was done by Attila Lazar, Chris Nnanatu and Andy Tatem. The PDRS data from the malaria insecticide treated net (ITN) distribution campaigns were collected, processed, anonymised and shared by the PNLP and its implementing partners. The settlement extent data was prepared and shared by CIESIN (2024). The data has been clipped to GRID3-CIESIN health area extent (version 8.0) (CIESIN, 2025).
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Modelled gridded population estimates for Kasaï-Central Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo version 4.4.
This data release provides gridded population estimates (spatial resolution of 3 arc-seconds, approximately 100-metre grid cells) for Kasaï-Central Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), along with estimates of the number of people belonging to various age-sex groups. The project team used the Pre-Distribution Registration Survey (PDRS) data from the National Malaria Control Programme (PNLP) collected as part of anti-malarial campaigns in the DRC for 2023, settlement extents and geospatial covariates to model and estimate population numbers at grid cell level using a Bayesian statistical hierarchical modelling framework. The approach facilitated simultaneous accounting for the multiple levels of variability within the data. It also allowed the quantification of uncertainties in parameter estimates. These model-based population estimates can be considered as most accurately representing the year 2023. This time period corresponds to inputs used for Kasaï-Central. Although the methods were robust enough to explicitly account for key random biases within the datasets, it is noted that systematic biases, which may arise from sources other than random errors within the observed data collection process, are most likely to remain.
These data were produced by the WorldPop Research Group at the University of Southampton. This work was part of the GRID3 – Phase 2 Scaling project, with funding from the Gates Foundation (INV-044979). Project partners included GRID3 Inc, the Center for Integrated Earth System Information (CIESIN) within the Columbia Climate School at Columbia University, and WorldPop at the University of Southampton. The final statistical modelling was designed, developed, and implemented by Chris Nnanatu. Data processing was done by Ortis Yankey with additional support from Heather Chamberlain. Project oversight was done by Attila Lazar, Chris Nnanatu and Andy Tatem. The PDRS data from the malaria insecticide treated net (ITN) distribution campaigns were collected, processed, anonymised and shared by the PNLP and its implementing partners. The settlement extent data was prepared and shared by CIESIN (2024). The data has been clipped to GRID3-CIESIN health area extent (version 8.0) (CIESIN, 2025).
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Modelled gridded population estimates for Kasaï-Central Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo version 4.3.
This data release provides gridded population estimates (spatial resolution of 3 arc-seconds, approximately 100-metre grid cells) for Kasaï-Central Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), along with estimates of the number of people belonging to various age-sex groups. The project team used the Pre-Distribution Registration Survey (PDRS) data from the National Malaria Control Programme (PNLP) collected as part of anti-malarial campaigns in the DRC for 2023, settlement extents and geospatial covariates to model and estimate population numbers at grid cell level using a Bayesian statistical hierarchical modelling framework. The approach facilitated simultaneous accounting for the multiple levels of variability within the data. It also allowed the quantification of uncertainties in parameter estimates. These model-based population estimates can be considered as most accurately representing the year 2023. This time period corresponds to inputs used for Kasaï-Central. Although the methods were robust enough to explicitly account for key random biases within the datasets, it is noted that systematic biases, which may arise from sources other than random errors within the observed data collection process, are most likely to remain.
These data were produced by the WorldPop Research Group at the University of Southampton. This work was part of the GRID3 – Phase 2 Scaling project, with funding from the Gates Foundation (INV-044979). Project partners included GRID3 Inc, the Center for Integrated Earth System Information (CIESIN) within the Columbia Climate School at Columbia University, and WorldPop at the University of Southampton. The final statistical modelling was designed, developed, and implemented by Chris Nnanatu. Data processing was done by Ortis Yankey with additional support from Heather Chamberlain. Project oversight was done by Attila Lazar, Chris Nnanatu and Andy Tatem. The PDRS data from the malaria insecticide treated net (ITN) distribution campaigns were collected, processed, anonymised and shared by the PNLP and its implementing partners. The settlement extent data was prepared and shared by CIESIN (2024). The data has been clipped to GRID3-CIESIN health area extent (version 6.0) (CIESIN, 2025)
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Modelled gridded population estimates for Ituri Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo version 4.4.
This data release provides gridded population estimates (spatial resolution of 3 arc-seconds, approximately 100-metre grid cells) for Ituri Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), along with estimates of the number of people belonging to various age-sex groups. The project team used the Pre-Distribution Registration Survey (PDRS) data from the National Malaria Control Programme (PNLP) collected as part of anti-malarial campaigns in the DRC for 2023, settlement extents and geospatial covariates to model and estimate population numbers at grid cell level using a Bayesian statistical hierarchical modelling framework. The approach facilitated simultaneous accounting for the multiple levels of variability within the data. It also allowed the quantification of uncertainties in parameter estimates. These model-based population estimates can be considered as most accurately representing the year 2023. This time period corresponds to the PDRS survey date for Ituri. Although the methods were robust enough to explicitly account for key random biases within the datasets, it is noted that systematic biases, which may arise from sources other than random errors within the observed data collection process, are most likely to remain.
These data were produced by the WorldPop Research Group at the University of Southampton. This work was part of the GRID3 – Phase 2 Scaling project, with funding from the Gates Foundation (INV-044979). Project partners included GRID3 Inc, the Center for Integrated Earth System Information (CIESIN) within the Columbia Climate School at Columbia University, and WorldPop at the University of Southampton. The final statistical modelling was designed, developed, and implemented by Chris Nnanatu. Data processing was done by Ortis Yankey with additional support from Heather Chamberlain. Project oversight was done by Attila Lazar, Chris Nnanatu and Andy Tatem. The PDRS data from the malaria insecticide treated net (ITN) distribution campaigns were collected, processed, anonymised and shared by the PNLP and its implementing partners. The settlement extent data was prepared and shared by CIESIN (2024). The data has been clipped to GRID3-CIESIN health area extent (version 8.0) (CIESIN, 2025).
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Modelled gridded population estimates for Kongo-Central Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo, version 4.4.
This data release provides gridded population estimates (spatial resolution of 3 arc-seconds, approximately 100 m grid cells) for Kongo-Central Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), along with estimates of the number of people belonging to various age-sex groups. The project team used the Pre-Distribution Registration Survey (PDRS) data from the National Malaria Control Programme (PNLP) collected as part of anti-malarial campaigns in the Democratic Republic of the Congo for 2023, settlement footprints and geospatial covariates to model and estimate population numbers at grid cell level using a Bayesian statistical hierarchical modelling framework. The approach facilitated simultaneous accounting for the multiple levels of variability within the data. It also allowed the quantification of uncertainties in parameter estimates. These model-based population estimates can be considered as most accurately representing the year 2023. This time period corresponds to the PDRS survey date for Kongo-Central. Although the methods were robust enough to explicitly account for key random biases within the datasets, it is noted that systematic biases, which may arise from sources other than random errors within the observed data collection process, are most likely to remain.
These data were produced by the WorldPop Research Group at the University of Southampton. This work was part of the GRID3 – Phase 2 Scaling project, with funding from the Gates Foundation (INV-044979). Project partners included GRID3, the Center for Integrated Earth System Information (CIESIN) within the Columbia Climate School at Columbia University, and WorldPop at the University of Southampton. The final statistical modelling was designed, developed, and implemented by Ortis Yankey. Data processing was done by Ortis Yankey with additional support from Heather Chamberlain. Project oversight was done by Chris Nnanatu, Attila Lazar, and Andy Tatem. The PDRS data from the malaria insecticide treated net (ITN) distribution campaigns were collected, processed, anonymised, and shared by the PNLP and its implementing partners. The settlement extent data was prepared and shared by CIESIN (2024). The data has been clipped to GRID3-CIESIN health area extent (version 8.0) (CIESIN, 2025).
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Modelled gridded population estimates for Lomami Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo version 4.4.
This data release provides gridded population estimates (spatial resolution of 3 arc-seconds, approximately 100-metre grid cells) for Lomami Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), along with estimates of the number of people belonging to various age-sex groups. The project team used the Pre-Distribution Registration Survey (PDRS) data from the National Malaria Control Programme (PNLP) collected as part of anti-malarial campaigns in the DRC for 2022, settlement extents and geospatial covariates to model and estimate population numbers at grid cell level using a Bayesian statistical hierarchical modelling framework. The approach facilitated simultaneous accounting for the multiple levels of variability within the data. It also allowed the quantification of uncertainties in parameter estimates. These model-based population estimates can be considered as most accurately representing the year 2022. This time period corresponds to the PDRS survey date for Lomami. Although the methods were robust enough to explicitly account for key random biases within the datasets, it is noted that systematic biases, which may arise from sources other than random errors within the observed data collection process, are most likely to remain.
These data were produced by the WorldPop Research Group at the University of Southampton. This work was part of the GRID3 – Phase 2 Scaling project, with funding from the Gates Foundation (INV-044979). Project partners included GRID3 Inc, the Center for Integrated Earth System Information (CIESIN) within the Columbia Climate School at Columbia University, and WorldPop at the University of Southampton. The final statistical modelling was designed, developed, and implemented by Ortis Yankey. Data processing was done by Ortis Yankey with additional support from Heather Chamberlain. Project oversight was done by Chris Nnanatu, Attila Lazar, and Andy Tatem. The PDRS data from the malaria insecticide treated net (ITN) distribution campaigns were collected, processed, anonymised, and shared by the PNLP and its implementing partners. The settlement extent data was prepared and shared by CIESIN (2024). The data has been clipped to GRID3-CIESIN health area extent (version 8.0) (CIESIN, 2025).
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