9,071 research outputs found
Climate-sensitive modelling of site-productivity relationships for Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst.) and common beech (Fagus sylvatica L.)
No full textThe aim of the presented research project is to fit a site index model capable for predicting changes in site-productivity in a changing climate. A generalized additive model is used to predict site index as a function of soil and climate variables. The climate parameter values are estimated using the regional climate model WETTREG, based on global climate simulations with the global circulation model ECHAM5/MPI-OM for the reference period from 1961 to 1990. The climate values are further regionalized on a 200 m × 200 m grid. The generalized additive model quantifies the partial linear and non-linear effects of the predictor variables on site index. The model is parameterized for Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst.) and common beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) in Lower Saxony, Germany. Two case studies investigate the model's ability to generate information in order to support forest management planning decisions under a changing climate. One example analyzes the possible shift in site index of spruce along a precipitation gradient under the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emission scenario A1B in the period from 2041 to 2050. The other case study shows possible future changes in site index of beech along a temperature gradient
Matthias Wagner : author profile
No full textThe author presented on this page has published his 10. article in Angewandte Chemie in the last 10 years
Lexer, Matthias von - Porträt
No full textLEXER, MATTHIAS VON - PORTRÄT
Lexer, Matthias von - Porträt ( -
Tree Species Selection in the Face of Drought Risk—Uncertainty in Forest Planning
No full textRapid climate change leads to significant shifts in the site-productivity relationship of tree species and alters abiotic and biotic risks well beyond classical rotation ages on many forest sites worldwide. Forest conversion may be an adequate measure to counter possible negative effects of climate change. Unfortunately, climate-driven changes in abiotic and biotic risks bear a significant source of intrinsic uncertainty inherent in climate projections. It is our goal to appraise uncertainty in species selection under drought stress, one of the most important risk factors for many forests. We derive a method to assess drought restrictions and demonstrate the uncertainty in the process of species selection by applying three climate scenarios. Furthermore, we interpret the consequences of climate uncertainty in the light of different management goals, i.e., a business-as-usual silviculture, a climate protection strategy favoring CO2 sequestration and a biodiversity strategy increasing diversity. The methods are applied to two representative regions in the North German Plain. The results clearly show the strong need for adaptive planning when drought restrictions are considered. However, different silvicultural management objectives may alter the extent of adaptive planning. The uncertainty in the planning process arising from different underlying climate projections strongly depends on the regional site characteristics and on forest management strategy. In conclusion, it is most important in forest planning to clearly state the management goals and to carefully explore if the goals can be met under climate change and if the uncertainty due to climate projections significantly affects the results of species selection
A new approach for modeling stand height development of German forests under climate change
No full textOpen-Access-Publikationsfonds 202
Enduring Ambiguity: What Is European Literature? Matthias Nawrat in Conversation with Monika Woltig
No full textMatthias Nawrat is a Polish-German author living in Germany born in Opole, Poland. He moved with his family to Bamberg in 1989. He was awarded the Adelbert-von-ChamissoFörderpreis, was nominated for the Deutscher Buchpreis, received the Bremen Literature Prize and the Alfred Döblin Medaille. His most important novels were "Wir zwei allein" (2012), "Die vielen Tode unseres Opas Jurek" (2015), and "Der traurige Gast" (2019).Matthias Nawrat to niemiecki autor polskiego pochodzenia. Matthias Nawrat urodził się w Opolu i wraz z rodziną przeprowadził się w 1989 roku do Bambergu. Uzyskał Nagrodę im. Adelberta von Chamisso (Förderpreis), był nominowany do Niemieckiej Nagrody Książkowej (Deutscher Buchpreis), otrzymał Nagrodę Literacką miasta Bremy i Medal im. Alfreda Döblina. Najważniejsze teksty: "Wir zwei allein" (2012), "Die vielen Tode unseres Opas Jurek" (2015), "Der traurige Gast" (2019).Matthias Nawrat ist ein deutscher Autor polnischer Herkunft. Matthias Nawrat wurde im polnischen Opole geboren und siedelte 1989 mit seiner Familie nach Bamberg über. Er wurde mit dem Adelbert-von-Chamisso-Förderpreis ausgezeichnet, zum Deutschen Buchpreis nominiert und erhielt den Bremer Literaturpreis sowie die Alfred-Döblin-Medaille. Die wichtigsten Texte: "Wir zwei allein" (2012), "Die vielen Tode unseres Opas Jurek" (2015), "Der traurige Gast" (2019)
Baculus Militaris Compendiosus Infanterie Oder Officirers Stab Das ist Ein kurtzer Begrieff der Kriegs Lectionen bey dem Fußvolck gebräuchlich auch nötig : Bestehend in sechserley Exercitien 1. In der Partisan, halber Pique oder Jägerstock. 2. In der Fahn. 3. In der Pique. 4. In der Musqueten. 5. In der Musqueten mit der gabel oben und unten mit einer eiserner spitzen und in der mitten mit einem ein geschrobenen hacken. 6. In Hieb degen/ welcher bey dem fußvolck brauchlich / [Matthias Schlüter]
No full textJohn Matthias
No full textPoster promoting author John Matthias reading from his work in the Auditorium, Building 9, University of North Florida.
Poster dimensions: 26.7 cm x 41.8 cmhttps://digitalcommons.unf.edu/performances_print/1013/thumbnail.jp
Quantifying the effect of persistent dryer climates on forest productivity and implications for forest planning: a case study in northern Germany
No full textAbstract Background Forest management decisions are based on expectations of future developments. For sound decisions it is essential to accurately predict the expected values in future developments and to account for their inherent uncertainty, for example the impact of climate change on forests. Changing climatic conditions affect forest productivity and alter the risk profile of forests and forest enterprises. Intensifying drought stress is seen as one major risk factor threatening forest management in the north German lowlands. Drought stress reduces tree growth and vitality and might even trigger mortality. But so far, it is not possible to quantify effects of a persistent dryer climate on forest productivity at a level suitable for forest management. Methods We apply a well-established single-tree forest growth simulator to quantify the effect of persistent dryer climates on future forest productivity. We analyse the growth of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.), European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) and oak (Quercus robur L. and Quercus petraea (Matt.) Liebl.) in two forest regions in the north German lowlands for a time interval of 60 years until 2070. The growth response under three different climate projections is compared to a baseline scenario. Results The results show clear differences in volume increment to persistent dryer climates between tree species. The findings exhibit regional differences and temporal trends. While mean annual increment at biological rotation age of Scots pine and oak predominantly benefits from the projected climate conditions until 2070, beech might suffer losses of up to 3 m3·ha–1·yr–1 depending on climate scenario and region. However, in the projection period 2051 to 2070 the uncertainty ranges comprise positive as well as negative climatic effects for all species. Conclusions The projected changes in forest growth serve as quantitative contributions to provide decision support in the evaluation of, for example, species future site suitability and timber supply assessments. The analysis of productivity changes under persistent dryer climate complements the drought vulnerability assessment which is applied in practical forestry in northwestern Germany today. The projected species’ productivity has strong implications for forest management and the inherent uncertainty needs to be accounted for
Assessing risks and uncertainties in forest dynamics under different management scenarios and climate change
No full textBackground
Forest management faces a climate induced shift in growth potential and increasing current and emerging new risks. Vulnerability analysis provides decision support based on projections of natural resources taking risks and uncertainties into account. In this paper we (1) characterize differences in forest dynamics under three management scenarios, (2) analyse the effects of the three scenarios on two risk factors, windthrow and drought stress, and (3) quantify the effects and the amount of uncertainty arising from climate projections on height increment and drought stress.
Methods
In four regions in northern Germany, we apply three contrasting management scenarios and project forest development under climate change until 2070. Three climate runs (minimum, median, maximum) based on the emission scenario RCP 8.5 control the site-sensitive forest growth functions. The minimum and maximum climate run define the range of prospective climate development.
Results
The projections of different management regimes until 2070 show the diverging medium-term effects of thinnings and harvests and long-term effects of species conversion on a regional scale. Examples of windthrow vulnerability and drought stress reveal how adaptation measures depend on the applied management path and the decision-maker’s risk attitude. Uncertainty analysis shows the increasing variability of drought risk projections with time. The effect of climate projections on height growth are quantified and uncertainty analysis reveals that height growth of young trees is dominated by the age-trend whereas the climate signal in height increment of older trees is decisive.
Conclusions
Drought risk is a serious issue in the eastern regions independent of the applied silvicultural scenario, but adaptation measures are limited as the proportion of the most drought tolerant species Scots pine is already high. Windthrow risk is no serious overall threat in any region, but adequate counter-measures such as species conversion, species mixture or reduction of target diameter can be taken. This simulation study of three silvicultural scenarios and three climate runs spans a decision space of potential forest development to be used for decision making. Which adaptation measures to counteract climate induced risks and uncertainty are to be taken is, however, a matter of individual risk attitude
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