126 research outputs found

    D8 Open Data for Agriculture Presentation by Perri Al-Riffai, IFPRI

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    Presentation by Perri Al-Riffai, IFPRI at the D8 Open Data for Agriculture Side event at IFPRI on May 1, 2013

    Modeling the water-food-energy nexus in the arab world: Economic and welfare impacts in Egypt

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    Presentation by IFPRI's Perrihan Al-Riffa

    营养与经济发展: 埃及食物补贴效果及其特殊性剖析

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    This book’s main hypothesis is that Egypt’s large food subsidy system has been ineffective in reducing undernutrition; in fact, it may have contributed to sustaining and even aggravating both nutrition challenges. For a long time, the subsidy system provided only calorie-rich foods, at very low and constant prices and with quotas much above dietary recommendations. This system has created incentives to consume calorie-overladen and unbalanced diets, increasing the risks of child and maternal overnutrition and, at high subsidy levels, the risk of inadequate child nutrition. Moreover, the large public budget allocated to the food subsidies is unavailable for possibly more nutrition-beneficial spending, such as for child and maternal nutrition-specific interventions. The authors’ findings consistently suggest that—in addition to the well-known economic rationale for reforming the Egyptian food subsidy system—there are strong reasons to reform food subsidies due to nutrition and public health concerns. A fundamental food subsidy reform process has been under way since June 2014. The already-implemented changes can be expected to have reduced some incentives for overconsumption and may have positive dietary effects. However, further major reform efforts are needed to transform the current subsidy system into a key policy instrument in the fight against malnutrition. The findings of this book should be valuable to policy makers, analysts, development partners, and others concerned with improving food security and promoting healthy nutrition in Egypt and other developing countries with large social protection programs. This book was translated in 2020 into Chinese. Ecker, Olivier; Al-Riffai, Perrihan; Breisinger, Clemens; and El-Batrawy, Rawia. 2020. Nutrition and economic development: Exploring Egypt's exceptionalism and the role of food subsidies [in Chinese]. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). ISBN: 9787511648204 This record also includes the following synopsis, published in English and translated into Arabic: Ecker, Olivier; Al-Riffai, Perrihan; Breisinger, Clemens; and El-Batrawy, Rawia. 2016. Nutrition and economic development: Exploring Egypt's exceptionalism and the role of food subsidies: Synopsis [in Arabic]. Washington, D.C.: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). http://dx.doi.org/10.2499/9780896292406 Ecker, Olivier; Al-Riffai, Perrihan; Breisinger, Clemens; and El-Batrawy, Rawia. 2016. Nutrition and economic development: Exploring Egypt's exceptionalism and the role of food subsidies: Synopsis. Washington, D.C.: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). http://dx.doi.org/10.2499/978089629240

    Tackling Egypt’s rising food insecurity in times of transition

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    Presentation by Perrihan Al-Raffai at the event: “Tackling food security and nutrition in Egypt: challenges and opportunities” Launch of the findings from the Household, Income, Expenditure and Consumption Survey , Tuesday 21 May in Cairo, Egypt

    A multi-level analysis of public spending, growth and poverty reduction in Egypt:

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    "Egypt is a lower middle-income country with a per capita gross domestic product (GDP) in 2003 of US$3,949 measured in international dollars, or purchasing power parity (World Bank 2005a). In the decade from 1975 to 1985, Egypt enjoyed rapid economic growth... however... Egypt still lags behind many middle-income countries in key social indicators. Further reforms are necessary to reduce poverty, especially if Egypt is to achieve the United Nations' Millennium Development Goal (MDG) of halving the number of poor between 1990 and 2015. Government expenditures are an important means of promoting economic growth, reducing poverty, and improving income distribution... The overarching objective of this report is to use a multi-level analysis approach to assess both the effects of various government expenditures on growth and poverty reduction and the trade-offs between these two goals in order to determine policy options toward the achievement of the MDGs. The study involves analyses and simulations at household, sectoral, and regional levels, and at macro-levels using alternative analytical tools. While the analyses at each level were carried out independently, the report provides a synergy of the findings... The report concludes with a synthesis of the different levels of analysis." Authors' AbstractPublic investments, economic growth, Poverty reduction, Social indicators, Income distribution, Millennium Development Goals,

    How to Feed Egypt

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    A country with a bulging population faces crippling food security challenges. A high-level government commitment must address the availability of and access to food

    A multiregion general equilibrium analysis of fiscal consolidation in South Africa:

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    A multiregion applied general equilibrium model is used to examine the financial interactions among spheres of government in the context of fiscal consolidation. The framework combines nine regional submodels interacting through the trading of goods and services and the mobility of labor and capital. The model integrates intergovernmental fiscal transfers, which play an important role in reducing the disparity in living standards between regions. The analysis demonstrates that the current intergovernmental revenue transfer system has significant inter- and intraregional equity effects, although its nationwide impact is less important. Reducing intergovernmental transfers leads to a reduction in welfare in the four regions where the net transfers were initially positive (Limpopo, Eastern Cape, KwaZulu-Natal, and North West Province). In contrast, welfare increases in the five other regions (Northern Cape, Mpumalanga, Free State, Gauteng, and the Western Cape). When transfer revenues fall and, consequently, regional and local government revenues drop, poor households are the most affected, as they depend more on public services that are essentially financed by governments. When the government's fiscal position improves, it is also poor households that benefit more from additional government expenses.intergovernmental transfer, multiregion applied general equilibrium, consolidation, welfare,

    Climate Change Socioeconomic Impacts: The Case of Egypt

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    This was presented at the IFPRI Egypt Seminar, How to Make Agriculture Climate Smart in Egypt: A Macro Sector and a Household Perspective, held in partnership with Bibliotheca Alexandrin

    Simulating the impact of climate change and adaptation strategies on farm productivity and income: A bioeconomic analysis

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    This study applied at the farm level in Tunisia aims at understanding the effects of climate change on agricultural productivity and income in Africa. Possible future climates are presented through different climate scenarios. The latter combines three levels of increasing temperature (1�centigrade (C), 2�C, and 3�C) with two levels of decreasing precipitation (10 and 20 percent) and a doubling of carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere (350 to 700 parts per million). The farming system of production is replicated through a bioeconomic model; that is, one that couples a cropping system model and an economic model run sequentially. The study reveals that land productivity and farm income decline under climate change. Depending on the changes in precipitation, farm productivity falls by 15 to 20 percent and farm income 5 to 20 percent when the temperature increases moderately (1�C). As the climate warms up (2�C and 3�C), farm productivity and income are severely affected, by 35 to 55 percent and 45 to 70 percent, respectively. When simple adaptation strategies based on new management techniques for hard wheat are tested - more irrigation and fertilization - compensations for the negative effects of climate change are found to be worthwhile only for a 1�C increase in temperature. However, the success of adaptation strategies highly depends on the availability of more water and lower additional cost to mobilize them at the farm level.adaptation strategies, Bioeconomic modeling, Agriculture, Climate change, farm income, productivity,
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